Weekly Market Pulse

Hey everyone, we just wrapped up the reporting window for April 6-12, 2026. Secrets of Strixhaven continues to run the show — 8 of the top 12 gainers this week were Commander precons, up from 5 last week. The top mover was Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Witherbloom Pestilence, which climbed VWAP $55.11 -> $64.03 (+16.18%) with a 1.8036 sell-through, even as average supply nearly doubled 57.4 -> 112.0 (+95.02%).

The 75 products that met our report thresholds generated $1,270,527.05 in revenue across 8,823 units and 7,590 orders — all up from last week’s $1.09M / 7,527 units / 6,331 orders. The median price change sat at +0.34%.

Top Gainers

Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Silverquill Influence continued its climb from last week, VWAP $58.80 -> $67.74 (+15.21%) on a strong 2.8019 sell-through. Average supply rose 60.3 -> 106.0 (+75.83%) and buyers kept pace.

Older sets also showed up in the top 12. The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander Deck Ahoy Mateys moved VWAP $33.08 -> $36.86 (+11.42%), and unlike the SoS precons, this was backed by shrinking supply at 130.9 -> 105.3 (-19.51%). Two more Lost Caverns Commander decks landed in the gainers: Veloci Ramp Tor at +4.53% (supply -25.27%) and Explorers of the Deep at +4.14% (supply -3.84%). These are products over two years old where tightening inventory is doing the work.

The Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Collector Booster Display made the gainers at VWAP $417.24 -> $436.57 (+4.63%) with supply tightening 57.7 -> 51.3 (-11.06%) and a 1.5779 sell-through. Last week we flagged a +60% restock signal on the individual TMNT Collector Booster Pack — that supply wave has already been absorbed, with pack supply now down -22.85% (159.4 -> 123.0) this week.

Top Decliners

Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander Deck Dance of the Elements led decliners at VWAP $34.98 -> $30.39 (-13.14%) with a weak 0.2865 sell-through on just 51 units. Blight Curse followed at -10.91% with an even softer 0.1837 sell-through. Both Lorwyn Eclipsed precons are struggling to find buyers.

Five Secrets of Strixhaven Prerelease Packs also landed in the decliners, ranging from -6.79% (Witherbloom) to -12.91% (Quandrix). Across all five packs, seller counts expanded — Quandrix sellers went 8.1 -> 10.0 (+22.81%), Lorehold 7.0 -> 9.0 (+28.57%), Prismari 8.3 -> 9.7 (+16.67%), Witherbloom 6.9 -> 8.0 (+16.67%). More sellers listing ahead of prerelease is applying downward pressure. The Silverquill and Witherbloom packs still posted strong 1.4717 sell-through rates despite the price drops, so demand is there — it’s just getting met by expanding competition.

The Lord of the Rings Commander Deck Food and Fellowship dropped VWAP $69.80 -> $63.90 (-8.45%) as average supply expanded 76.9 -> 91.0 (+18.40%).

Supply / Velocity Read-Through

Five SoS products tripped our probable restock signal this week as distributor inventory floods the market ahead of the April 24 release.

The Secret of Strixhaven Collector Booster Display had the most dramatic supply expansion: average listings went from 83.7 -> 358.0 (+327.65%). Despite that, the product generated $336,799 in revenue on 700 units with a 1.9553 sell-through — demand absorbed the new supply and prices still ticked up VWAP $469.62 -> $481.14 (+2.45%). The SoS Play Booster Display followed the same pattern: supply more than doubled 281.6 -> 607.7 (+115.81%) while moving 2,083 units at a 3.4279 sell-through for $271,932 in revenue. The SoS Commander Deck Case saw supply rise 103.3 -> 190.7 (+84.60%) but posted the highest sell-through of the group at 3.6346 on 693 units.

Not every SoS product absorbed its restock cleanly. The Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle saw inventory spike 47.9 -> 150.3 (+214.13%) and managed to pull prices up slightly, VWAP $194.54 -> $205.54 (+5.66%), on a 0.8381 sell-through. But the SoS Draft Night couldn’t keep up — supply surged 131.3 -> 300.0 (+128.51%) and price fell VWAP $96.27 -> $87.59 (-9.02%) with only a 0.4167 sell-through. The SoS Collector Booster Pack also saw heavy restocking (supply 115.4 -> 252.7, +118.89%) with a slight price dip to VWAP $44.47 (-1.53%).

Opinionated Takeaways

Opinion corner — take it with a grain of salt.

The SoS restock wave is a demand test, and so far demand is passing. A product that quadruples its supply and still moves 700 units at a nearly 2x sell-through is telling you something real about buyer appetite. The Play Booster Display and Commander Case tell the same story. The Draft Night is the exception — its 0.4167 sell-through suggests the market got more supply than it needed at that price point. Worth watching whether that stabilizes or keeps sliding.

SoS preorder demand is splitting by product type. Commander precons are climbing (8 of 12 gainers) while all five Prerelease Packs are declining. The precons represent a known product — you’re buying a specific deck to play — and buyers are willing to pay more as release approaches. Prerelease packs are a different buy: you’re paying a premium to crack packs early, and as more sellers list inventory ahead of the April 17 prerelease, that premium is compressing.

Lost Caverns of Ixalan is getting quiet organic demand. Three Commander decks in the top 12 gainers, all with tightening supply, no hype cycle driving it. Ahoy Mateys at +11.42% with supply dropping -19.51% is the standout. These are the kind of moves that tend to stick because they’re not driven by a preview season or release window.

What To Watch Next Week

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Turtle Team Up has a price-supply divergence building. Price slipped VWAP $42.20 -> $40.13 (-4.91%) while average supply drained 124.0 -> 78.7 (-36.56%) with a 1.0424 sell-through. That’s inventory turning over but the price not reflecting it yet.

The Commander Masters Collector Booster Box is sitting at VWAP $376.57 -> $376.82 (+0.07%) with average supply dropping 37.9 -> 27.3 (-27.80%). Thin supply on a premium product — if the tightening continues, pricing could move.

And the big one: SoS prereleases start April 17. This week showed us the supply pipeline is open. Next week will tell us whether prerelease weekend pulls enough product off the market to shift pricing, or whether the restock wave has enough depth to keep things steady.

Thanks for reading — catch you next week with the prerelease numbers.

— The MTGsold Team

Calculation Notes & Disclaimers

• Metrics are based on MTGsold internal sales/listing snapshots for the report window only.
• avg qty = average of daily inventory (most complete scrape per day, by seller coverage), not a sum of all intraday listings.
• sell-through = units sold this week / avg qty this week; values above 1 indicate inventory turned over multiple times.
• Percentage changes are week-over-week versus the prior-week baseline; very small baselines can exaggerate % moves.
• Listings are marketplace snapshots and may include relists, temporary removals, and scrape gaps, so flagged low-confidence moves should be treated cautiously.
• Marketplace sections are segmented to avoid cross-stream blending of metrics.
• This report is filtered to marketplace: tcgplayer.