Weekly Market Pulse

Hey everyone, we just wrapped up the reporting window for March 30 to April 5, 2026. The primary mover this week was the Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Silverquill Influence, which jumped VWAP $47.32 -> $58.80 (+24.25%). This price action was supported by inventory draining off the market, with average supply moving 68.4 -> 60.3 (-11.90%) alongside a high sell-through rate of 4.9265.

Across the 69 products considered in this week’s report, we tracked 7,527 units sold, 6,331 total orders, and $1,086,987.17 in total item revenue. 5 of the top 12 gainers were Commander precons. Overall market baselines held relatively flat, with a median price change of -0.16%.

Top Gainers

The Secret of Strixhaven Collector Booster Display had a massive week, pushing VWAP $382.48 -> $469.62 (+22.78%). The demand here is backed by a severe inventory contraction. Average supply collapsed 178.7 -> 83.7 (-53.16%), and a strong sell-through of 5.9608 kept velocity high.

Demand also spilled over into the Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Case, climbing VWAP $194.91 -> $236.04 (+21.10%). Average supply actually increased 87.1 -> 103.3 (+18.52%) for this product, but buyer appetite absorbed the new listings quickly, resulting in a healthy sell-through rate of 3.8437.

Top Decliners

On the flip side, the Edge of Eternities Commander Deck World Shaper experienced the steepest drop of the week. Prices fell VWAP $53.32 -> $40.97 (-23.15%). This downward move aligns with a steady increase in available inventory, as average supply expanded 91.7 -> 119.1 (+29.91%).

We also saw prices cool for the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Pizza Bundle, sliding VWAP $115.38 -> $104.30 (-9.61%). A near-doubling of average sellers, going 15.6 -> 29.9 (+91.74%), suggests that added listing competition applied downward pressure on the market price. The Pizza Bundle wasn’t alone here five TMNT products landed in the decliners list this week, with supply expanding across the board: the Prerelease Pack (-7.25%, supply +23.65%), Draft Night (-5.58%, supply +14.48%), Bundle (-4.00%, supply +15.70%), and Turtle Team Up (-3.30%, supply +22.43%). More on this pattern in the takeaways below.

Supply / Velocity Read-Through

Looking at inventory shifts, the data shows a clear restock signal for the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Collector Booster Pack. Average supply surged 99.3 -> 159.4 (+60.58%), and the active seller count increased 10.4 -> 16.1 (+54.79%). This influx of new listings gave buyers more options and kept prices flat at a VWAP of $38.04. We don’t track the TMNT Collector Booster Display (box) in this week’s report’s product set snapshot, so we can’t confirm whether sellers are cracking boxes and listing individual packs but the +60% supply jump on the pack side with no corresponding box data is at least consistent with that theory.

Compare that seller expansion to the supply crunch we saw for the Secret of Strixhaven Collector Booster Display mentioned earlier. It lost over half its average listings (178.7 -> 83.7) in the same seven-day window, which contributed to buyers paying significantly higher prices.

On the data quality side, treat the Universes Beyond Fallout Mutant Menace Commander Deck cautiously this week. The system flagged it for low coverage and probable data artifacts. We do not currently have reliable average supply or seller metrics for this item, making its slight price move of VWAP $159.15 -> $154.71 (-2.79%) a low-confidence reading. We’re also flagging similar coverage gaps on the Fallout Hail Caesar Commander Deck ($84.95 -> $82.95, -2.36%), Edge of Eternities Commander Decks Set of 2 ($69.60 -> $69.48, -0.18%), and Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander Decks Set of 2 ($63.69 -> $61.79, -2.98%). None of these had dramatic price moves, but the underlying supply data isn’t trustworthy enough to read into.

Opinionated Takeaways

This is the opinion corner take it with a grain of salt.

SoS preorder hype is real, and the timing lines up. The Secrets of Strixhaven debut stream happened on March 31, putting the entire spoiler season inside this report window. Prereleases start April 17, full release is April 24. Five Commander precons in the top 12 gainers, a Collector Display that lost half its supply, and $240K in Play Display revenue on a set that isn’t out yet this is textbook preview-season demand. The interesting question is whether these prices hold through release or whether we see the usual post-launch correction once supply actually hits the market. We’ll be watching.

TMNT is doing what new sets do a month out. TMNT released on March 6, and we’re now seeing the post-launch supply normalization you’d expect. Five products declining, all with expanding inventory, and the Collector Booster Pack getting a clear restock wave. Sell-through rates on the Prerelease Pack (0.2031) and Draft Night (0.2009) are well below 1, meaning inventory is sitting. This isn’t a panic signal it’s the market finding its floor after the initial rush. Prices on these products will likely stabilize over the next few weeks unless a fresh demand catalyst appears.

What To Watch Next Week

Keep an eye on the Lorwyn Eclipsed Collector Booster Display. It saw a minor price bump of VWAP $373.55 -> $391.76 (+4.87%), but average supply tightened significantly from 115.3 -> 86.7 (-24.78%). If that inventory continues to drain at its current sell-through rate of 0.5189, the price could react more aggressively.

Similarly, the Bloomburrow Commander Deck Peace Offering is showing signs of a supply-tightening price lag. VWAP ticked up slightly $49.76 -> $50.94 (+2.37%), while average supply dropped 68.7 -> 53.1 (-22.66%). We’ll monitor this next week to see if the shrinking inventory pushes a larger price adjustment.

And obviously, SoS preorder prices across the board. With previews continuing and prerelease two weeks away, next week’s data should tell us whether this demand wave has legs or if early buyers are already getting priced out.

Thanks for reading catch you next week with more numbers.

The MTGsold Team

Calculation Notes & Disclaimers

• Metrics are based on MTGsold internal sales/listing snapshots for the report window only.
• avg qty = average of daily inventory (most complete scrape per day, by seller coverage), not a sum of all intraday listings.
• sell-through = units sold this week / avg qty this week; values above 1 indicate inventory turned over multiple times.
• Percentage changes are week-over-week versus the prior-week baseline; very small baselines can exaggerate % moves.
• Listings are marketplace snapshots and may include relists, temporary removals, and scrape gaps, so flagged low-confidence moves should be treated cautiously.
• Marketplace sections are segmented to avoid cross-stream blending of metrics.
• This report is filtered to marketplace: tcgplayer.