Weekly Report (May 11–17, 2026)
Weekly Market Pulse
The TCGPlayer cohort moved 5,792 units across 4,485 orders for $748,642.69 in total revenue this week. Units were nearly flat week-over-week (down 2.1% from 5,917), but revenue dropped 16.9% from last week’s $901,102.42. That gap is the headline: average transaction prices compressed, driven almost entirely by Secrets of Strixhaven flooding the market with post-launch supply. Strixhaven products claimed five of the top ten revenue spots, led by the Secret of Strixhaven Collector Booster Display at $137,973.42 (318 units, VWAP $433.88) and the Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle at $73,283.83 (637 units, VWAP $115.05).
Outside Strixhaven, the premium Universes Beyond products held their ground. FINAL FANTASY Collector Booster Display moved 28 units at VWAP $1,082.53, and The Hobbit Collector Booster Display cleared 35 units at $791.53. Standard-set products like Edge of Eternities Play Booster Display ($21,239.32, 167 units) and Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster Display ($16,475.15, 153 units) also contributed steady mid-table revenue. Thursday was the busiest day at 1,169 units and $129,578.16 in revenue, with a clean ramp from Sunday’s 716 units through the Thursday peak before easing into the weekend.
| Product | Revenue | Units | VWAP | WoW |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoS Coll Booster Display | $137,973.42 | 318 | $433.88 | -1.78% |
| SoS Codex Bundle | $73,283.83 | 637 | $115.05 | -36.26% |
| SoS Play Booster Display | $38,309.77 | 292 | $131.20 | +0.80% |
| SoS Cmdr Case | $31,176.23 | 168 | $185.57 | -8.50% |
| FF Coll Booster Display | $30,310.82 | 28 | $1082.53 | -5.17% |
| Marvel Super Heroes Coll Booster… | $28,426.23 | 58 | $490.11 | -2.06% |
| The Hobbit Coll Booster Display | $27,703.41 | 35 | $791.53 | -7.99% |
| FF Play Booster Display | $23,862.14 | 128 | $186.42 | +4.40% |
| Edge of Eternities Play Booster … | $21,239.32 | 167 | $127.18 | +3.70% |
| Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster Dis… | $16,475.15 | 153 | $107.68 | -1.09% |
Top Gainers
Edge of Eternities Commander Deck Counter Intelligence leads TCGPlayer gainers with VWAP $29.21 -> $34.11 (+16.75%) on 32 units and $1,091.47 in revenue across 30 orders. Supply has been growing — avg qty 206.7 -> 254.1 (+22.92%) with sellers ticking up from 71.4 to 75.1 (+5.13%) — so the price move is coming despite more inventory hitting the market, not because of a supply squeeze. Sell-through at 0.1259 is modest, suggesting steady organic demand rather than a rush.
Bloomburrow Commander Deck Peace Offering gained VWAP $62.90 -> $73.37 (+16.65%) on 38 units and $2,788.09 in revenue across 38 orders. This one has the supply signals to back it up: avg qty 49.0 -> 29.6 (-39.59%) and sellers 23.2 -> 16.4 (-29.30%). Sell-through of 1.2850 means demand is outpacing new supply listings — one of the tightest absorption ratios among TCGPlayer products this week. Inventory is genuinely drying up here, and the price is responding accordingly.
Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander Deck Blight Curse posted VWAP $27.37 -> $31.04 (+13.40%) on 31 units and $962.15 in revenue across 31 orders. Supply is building slightly — avg qty 280.2 -> 299.8 (+6.99%), sellers 67.1 -> 73.1 (+8.94%) — with a low sell-through of 0.1034. The price move looks more like a shift in the mix of listings selling than a supply-demand imbalance, so I’d treat this percentage gain cautiously.
Modern Horizons 3 Commander Deck Eldrazi Incursion climbed VWAP $128.39 -> $145.17 (+13.07%) on 24 units and $3,484.01 in revenue across 23 orders. Supply is roughly flat — avg qty 22.9 -> 24.7 (+7.69%) — but sellers are thinning from 17.2 to 15.3 (-10.80%). A sell-through of 0.9730 is solid, meaning demand nearly matched new supply entering the market. At a $145+ VWAP with fewer sellers competing, this is one of the more structurally supported moves on the gainer list.
Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander Deck Dance of the Elements rose VWAP $29.07 -> $32.30 (+11.12%) on 24 units and $775.19 in revenue across 23 orders. Like its sibling Blight Curse, supply is expanding — avg qty 300.2 -> 327.2 (+8.99%), sellers 72.0 -> 76.2 (+5.82%) — and sell-through is thin at 0.0734. The price gain is real but not backed by tightening supply, so keep expectations measured on whether this holds.
Duskmourn House of Horror Commander Deck Endless Punishment gained VWAP $136.07 -> $150.10 (+10.31%) on 32 units and $4,803.26 in revenue across 32 orders. This deck has the strongest supply signals among the gainers: avg qty 72.0 -> 57.0 (-20.95%) and sellers 42.3 -> 34.2 (-19.03%), both contracting meaningfully. Sell-through at 0.5619 shows healthy absorption. With fewer sellers and shrinking inventory, the price move has real structural backing.
On Manapool, Edge of Eternities Play Booster Pack (Manapool) led with VWAP $6.00 -> $7.65 (+27.50%) on 6 units, followed by Bloomburrow Play Booster Pack (Manapool) at VWAP $5.03 -> $6.08 (+20.86%) on 3 units. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Commander Deck Turtle Power (Manapool) rose VWAP $45.12 -> $51.56 (+14.26%) on 3 units. Edge of Eternities Play Booster Display (Manapool) gained VWAP $135.99 -> $148.73 (+9.36%) on 6 units, and FINAL FANTASY Play Booster Display (Manapool) ticked up VWAP $171.13 -> $176.71 (+3.26%) on 18 units. Volume is thin across all five, so treat these percentage moves as directional signals rather than confirmed trends.
Top Decliners
Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle leads TCGPlayer decliners with VWAP $180.49 -> $115.05 (-36.26%) on a massive 637 units and $73,283.83 in revenue across 483 orders. Supply exploded — avg qty 68.8 -> 175.6 (+155.39%) and sellers 13.2 -> 33.4 (+152.22%). Despite that surge, sell-through hit 3.6273, meaning demand absorbed well over three times the new supply entering the market. The spike_driven_supply flag indicates the prior-period VWAP of $180.49 likely reflects a thin early post-release market that was never going to hold once more sellers listed at scale. This is post-release normalization — prices are settling to a real market level, not collapsing — and the demand underneath is strong.
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Silverquill Influence fell VWAP $61.07 -> $48.79 (-20.10%) on 150 units and $7,318.72 in revenue across 80 orders. Supply grew — avg qty 163.6 -> 222.9 (+36.27%), sellers 58.2 -> 70.3 (+20.77%) — as more copies hit the market post-launch. Sell-through at 0.6729 is decent but not enough to absorb the inventory wave. The 150 units on 80 orders suggests some multi-quantity purchases, which can indicate dealer-level buying at the new lower price point.
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Lorehold Spirit dropped VWAP $42.00 -> $35.31 (-15.94%) on 140 units and $4,942.72 in revenue across 106 orders. This one carries a probable restock flag: avg qty 150.3 -> 238.7 (+58.84%) and sellers 39.3 -> 56.6 (+43.95%), both significant jumps. Sell-through at 0.5865 shows demand is present but lagging the supply inflow. Restocking pressure is likely the primary driver of the price decline.
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Quandrix Unlimited declined VWAP $44.83 -> $38.56 (-13.99%) on 183 units and $7,055.60 in revenue across 147 orders. Supply expanded — avg qty 189.9 -> 245.2 (+29.14%), sellers 46.1 -> 51.0 (+10.74%). Sell-through at 0.7462 is the healthiest among the Strixhaven commander decliners, and the 183 units on 147 orders show broad retail-level demand. The deck is moving well — it’s absorbing more supply than price can sustain at prior levels, but the velocity is encouraging.
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Witherbloom Pestilence fell VWAP $57.27 -> $49.41 (-13.72%) on 81 units and $4,002.48 in revenue across 77 orders. Another probable restock signal — avg qty 117.4 -> 206.5 (+75.94%) and sellers 36.8 -> 53.7 (+45.98%), both among the steepest supply increases on the decliner list. Sell-through at 0.3922 is below the Strixhaven commander deck average, indicating supply is running ahead of demand for this particular deck.
Secret of Strixhaven Bundle dropped VWAP $76.72 -> $66.22 (-13.69%) on 40 units and $2,648.70 in revenue across 39 orders. Supply roughly doubled — avg qty 75.3 -> 137.0 (+82.04%) and sellers 16.4 -> 32.0 (+95.64%) — flagged as a probable restock signal. Sell-through at 0.2919 is on the low side, and with seller count nearly doubling, the bundle is seeing significant new market entrants. Price is adjusting to the heavier supply.
On Manapool, Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle (Manapool) led decliners with VWAP $176.00 -> $149.04 (-15.32%) on 51 units, mirroring the TCGPlayer price normalization but at a smaller magnitude than TCGPlayer’s -36.26%. Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Quandrix Unlimited (Manapool) fell VWAP $48.78 -> $41.41 (-15.11%) on 26 units. Secret of Strixhaven Collector Booster Pack (Manapool) dipped VWAP $43.74 -> $40.77 (-6.80%) on 14 units, while Secret of Strixhaven Collector Booster Display (Manapool) eased VWAP $450.98 -> $433.36 (-3.91%) on 18 units. Modern Horizons 3 Play Booster Pack (Manapool) slipped VWAP $9.29 -> $9.00 (-3.16%) on just 3 units. The Strixhaven declines are directionally consistent across both venues, though Manapool’s tighter seller base appears to be cushioning the price impact relative to TCGPlayer.
Supply / Velocity Read-Through
TCGPlayer supply this week was shaped by the Strixhaven launch wave. Seller counts and listing quantities jumped sharply across every Strixhaven product — the Codex Bundle saw sellers more than double from 13.2 to 33.4, while several commander decks picked up 40-60% more listings. Despite the flood, sell-through ratios on the highest-demand Strixhaven products stayed well above 1.0, meaning the market absorbed new inventory faster than it appeared. The Codex Bundle’s 3.63 sell-through is the highest on the board this week.
Outside Strixhaven, the picture was mixed. Bloomburrow Commander Deck Peace Offering stands out with a genuine supply crunch — avg qty dropped 39.59% while sellers fell 29.30%, pushing sell-through to 1.2850. Duskmourn Commander Deck Endless Punishment also showed meaningful supply contraction, with both quantity and sellers declining about 20%. On the other end, the Lorwyn Eclipsed commander decks are slowly building inventory without strong enough demand to tighten supply — both Blight Curse and Dance of the Elements sit above 280 avg qty with sell-through under 0.13.
| Product | Sell-Through | Avg Qty | Supply Δ | Sellers Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoS Codex Bundle | 3.6273 | 175.6 | +155.39% | +152.22% |
| Bloomburrow Cmdr Peace Offering | 1.2850 | 29.6 | -39.59% | -29.30% |
| The Hobbit Draft Night | 1.2848 | 22.6 | -54.11% | -27.50% |
| SoS Coll Booster Display | 1.2536 | 253.7 | +4.78% | +10.37% |
| SoS Cmdr Prismari Artistry | 1.2395 | 180.7 | +8.15% | +8.53% |
| SoS Witherbloom Prerelease Pack | 1.1507 | 20.9 | -34.82% | -29.49% |
The tightest inventory situations on TCGPlayer this week: Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle at sell-through 3.6273 (avg qty 175.6) — demand is overwhelming new supply despite the massive restock wave. Bloomburrow Commander Deck Peace Offering at sell-through 1.2850 (avg qty 29.6) with genuine supply contraction across both quantity and seller count. The Hobbit Draft Night at sell-through 1.2848 (avg qty 22.6). Secret of Strixhaven Collector Booster Display at sell-through 1.2536 (avg qty 253.7). Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Prismari Artistry at sell-through 1.2395 (avg qty 180.7), and Secrets of Strixhaven Witherbloom Prerelease Pack at sell-through 1.1507 (avg qty 20.9).
The heaviest inventory on TCGPlayer: Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander Deck Dance of the Elements with avg qty 327.2 and a sell-through of just 0.0734 — significant inventory with minimal absorption. Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander Deck Blight Curse at avg qty 299.8 with sell-through 0.1034 is in a similar spot. Edge of Eternities Commander Deck Counter Intelligence sits at avg qty 254.1 with sell-through 0.1259 — despite the VWAP gain, there’s plenty of product on shelves. All three products gained in price this week, but the supply backdrop warrants caution about sustainability.
Inventory this week is spread across 501 located sellers with 100% geographic coverage. California leads at 11.3% of total listed quantity, followed by Oregon at 9.1%, New York at 7.6%, Washington at 7.3%, and Florida at 7.1%. Arizona rounds out the top six at 6.4%. By city, Ontario, OR leads with 4,029 units listed, followed by Seattle, WA at 3,929, Miami, FL at 2,345, Tempe, AZ at 2,183, and Westminster, CA at 2,127. The Pacific Northwest corridor (Oregon + Washington) accounts for 16.4% of all inventory, making it the densest regional concentration. Quebec (1.8%) and Ontario province (0.9%) represent the Canadian presence on the board.
The Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle carries a spike_driven_supply flag — its prior-period VWAP of $180.49 likely reflects a thin early post-release market, making the -36.26% decline appear more dramatic than the underlying market shift. Three Strixhaven products — Lorehold Spirit, Witherbloom Pestilence, and the Bundle — carry probable_restock_signal flags, meaning their supply increases may reflect distributor restock waves rather than organic seller growth. Treat percentage moves on all flagged products as directionally correct but magnitude-uncertain. The Lorwyn Eclipsed commander deck gains (+11-13%) occur on low sell-through and expanding supply, which weakens confidence in those moves sustaining into next week.
Opinionated Takeaways
The Strixhaven price correction is healthy, not a crash
Every Strixhaven product on the decliner list is dropping from what looks like a thin early post-release baseline. The Codex Bundle’s prior VWAP of $180.49 was never a sustainable market price once sellers tripled and inventory doubled. At $115.05 with a sell-through above 3.6, the product is finding real equilibrium with strong demand underneath. I’d expect further settling over the next week or two, but the velocity signals are encouraging, not alarming. Grain of salt: this is a post-release normalization read, not investment advice.
Bloomburrow Peace Offering is the real supply story
While Strixhaven dominated the headlines, the most interesting supply dynamic belongs to Bloomburrow Commander Deck Peace Offering. Inventory dropped nearly 40%, sellers dropped 29%, and sell-through cleared 1.28 — all on a product that’s been on the market for months. At $73 VWAP with a dwindling seller base, this has the supply profile of a product that could gap up if a restock doesn’t arrive soon. Worth watching more closely than any of the Strixhaven noise.
Premium UB sealed products are operating in their own lane
FINAL FANTASY Collector Booster Display at VWAP $1,082.53 and The Hobbit Collector Booster Display at $791.53 keep trading at levels that have nothing to do with standard MTG sealed dynamics. These are low-unit, high-dollar markets — 28 and 35 units respectively — but remarkably stable in a week where everything else was repricing. If you’re tracking sealed product as an asset class, the UB collector tier appears increasingly decoupled from the broader market cycle.
Revenue down 17% on flat units means the market got cheaper, not quieter
The week-over-week revenue drop from $901K to $749K looks alarming at first glance, but units only fell 2%. Buyers didn’t leave — they paid less per unit, mostly because the Strixhaven supply wave brought prices down across a high-volume set. The near-flat unit count at lower prices could actually signal increased accessibility for buyers who were priced out at preorder levels. The real test comes next week: do units tick up now that Strixhaven has found more approachable price points?
What To Watch Next Week
Strixhaven price stabilization. The Codex Bundle and commander decks are still working through their post-release supply wave. Watch whether VWAPs stabilize or continue declining as more inventory enters. A sell-through ratio staying above 1.0 on the Codex Bundle would be a bullish signal that demand can continue absorbing the supply inflow. If sell-through drops below 1.0, expect another leg down in price.
Bloomburrow Peace Offering supply trajectory. With avg qty at 29.6 and sell-through above 1.28, this deck is on a path toward scarcity. If inventory continues contracting next week while price holds above $73, we could see the move accelerate. A restock wave would likely cap the upside — so watch seller counts closely for any signs of new supply entering.
Duskmourn Endless Punishment follow-through. Sellers down 19%, inventory down 21%, and a 10% price gain this week with no data quality flags. The supply contraction is consistent and organic-looking. If these trends hold, the deck could cross into sell-through above 1.0 territory and join Peace Offering as one of the tighter older-set commander products on the market.
— The MTGsold Team
Calculation Notes & Disclaimers
- Metrics are based on MTGsold internal sales/listing snapshots for the report window only.
avg qty= average of daily inventory (most complete scrape per day, by seller coverage), not a sum of all intraday listings.sell-through=units sold this week / avg qty this week; values above 1 indicate inventory turned over multiple times.- Percentage changes are week-over-week versus the prior-week baseline; very small baselines can exaggerate % moves.
- Listings are marketplace snapshots and may include relists, temporary removals, and scrape gaps, so flagged low-confidence moves should be treated cautiously.
- Marketplace sections are segmented to avoid cross-stream blending of metrics.