Weekly Report (May 4–10, 2026)
Weekly Market Pulse
The TCGPlayer cohort moved 5,863 units for $907,485 in revenue across 4,777 orders this week — down about 9% in revenue and 14% in units from last week’s $997,697 and 6,824 units. Secret of Strixhaven Collector Booster Display dominated the revenue board at $184,208 on 417 units ($441.75 VWAP), and the broader Strixhaven family filled out most of the top ten. The Hobbit Collector Booster Display was the premium standout: $86,027 on just 100 units at an $860.27 VWAP. FINAL FANTASY Collector Booster Display pushed $28,539 on only 25 units ($1,141.55 VWAP) — the highest per-unit price in the cohort.
Daily volume held relatively steady through the week, peaking Monday at $157,790 and settling to $114,601 by Saturday. No single-day cliff, just a gentle taper. The big theme: Strixhaven is everywhere — on the revenue chart, in the sell-through table, and across both the gainers and decliners. The market is actively sorting which Strixhaven SKUs have staying power and which are settling into post-launch pricing.
| Product | Revenue | Units | VWAP | WoW |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoS Coll Booster Display | $184,208.03 | 417 | $441.75 | -8.46% |
| The Hobbit Coll Booster Display | $86,027.44 | 100 | $860.27 | -3.48% |
| SoS Play Booster Display | $65,205.33 | 501 | $130.15 | -2.84% |
| SoS Cmdr Case | $45,227.41 | 223 | $202.81 | -9.48% |
| Edge of Eternities Play Booster … | $35,811.58 | 292 | $122.64 | -3.95% |
| Marvel Super Heroes Coll Booster… | $30,024.78 | 60 | $500.41 | -10.59% |
| LOTR Cmdrs Set of 4 | $29,657.56 | 134 | $221.33 | +3.14% |
| FF Coll Booster Display | $28,538.72 | 25 | $1141.55 | -1.89% |
| Mystery Booster 2 Booster Display | $27,060.66 | 98 | $276.13 | -9.59% |
| SoS Play Booster Display Case | $23,715.60 | 35 | $677.59 | -4.78% |
Top Gainers
FINAL FANTASY Play Booster Display leads TCGPlayer gainers this week with VWAP $152.06 -> $178.56 (+17.43%) on 103 units and $18,392 in revenue across 87 orders. Supply is thinning on both sides: avg qty 291.5 -> 238.7 (-18.12%) and sellers 100.5 -> 88.9 (-11.47%). Sell-through 0.4316 isn’t screaming scarcity yet, but rising price paired with falling supply and falling seller count is a clean bullish setup. This is real demand pulling inventory off the shelf, not a supply squeeze on thin volume.
Bloomburrow Commander Deck Peace Offering gained VWAP $55.65 -> $62.90 (+13.01%) on 54 units and $3,396 in revenue — all 54 orders were single-unit purchases. Sell-through 1.1031 means more units left the market than entered it this period. Avg qty 67.9 -> 49.0 (-27.86%) and sellers 33.7 -> 23.2 (-31.07%) — seller attrition is steep. This is a Bloomburrow-era deck that’s getting genuinely harder to find, and the price is responding accordingly.
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Bundle moved VWAP $43.69 -> $48.99 (+12.11%) on 30 units, $1,470 revenue, 28 orders. Supply pulled back noticeably: avg qty 182.4 -> 137.8 (-24.46%) and sellers 46.9 -> 39.5 (-15.78%). Sell-through 0.2178 is modest though — the price gain looks driven more by thinning supply than heavy buying pressure. Fewer sellers listing at lower quantities gives the remaining inventory more pricing power.
The Lord of the Rings Tales of Middle earth Commander Deck Elven Council gained VWAP $47.02 -> $51.63 (+9.81%) on 22 units, $1,136 revenue, 20 orders. Supply barely moved — avg qty 128.1 -> 122.7 (-4.27%) — and sellers held steady at 37.2 -> 36.2. Sell-through 0.1793 is low. This is a modest move on thin volume and I’d treat the percentage with some caution given only 22 units changed hands.
Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander Deck Dance of the Elements gained VWAP $26.73 -> $29.07 (+8.75%) on 54 units, $1,570 revenue, 34 orders. Supply actually grew — avg qty 282.5 -> 300.2 (+6.26%) — while sellers held flat at 73.5 -> 72.0. Sell-through 0.1799. Price climbing while supply expands suggests genuine demand pressure rather than a supply squeeze. At $29 this is one of the more affordable Commander decks on the market, and buyers are absorbing the added inventory without pushing prices down.
The Lord of the Rings Tales of Middle earth Commander Deck The Hosts of Mordor gained VWAP $81.38 -> $88.03 (+8.18%) on 56 units, $4,930 revenue, 55 orders. Supply drifted down slightly — avg qty 159.1 -> 154.5 (-2.90%), sellers 48.8 -> 46.8 (-4.08%). Sell-through 0.3624 shows steady absorption. At $88 VWAP, Hosts of Mordor continues to command a premium over most Commander products, and the slow supply drain supports current pricing levels.
On Manapool, FINAL FANTASY products showed cross-platform strength. FINAL FANTASY Commander Deck FINAL FANTASY X Counter Blitz (Manapool) moved to VWAP $47.99 -> $53.48 (+11.45%) on 4 units, and FINAL FANTASY Play Booster Display (Manapool) gained VWAP $155.65 -> $171.13 (+9.95%) on 8 units and $1,369 revenue — mirroring the TCGPlayer gains for that product. On the Strixhaven side, Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Prismari Artistry (Manapool) rose VWAP $40.81 -> $45.15 (+10.64%) on 3 units, Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle (Manapool) climbed VWAP $163.83 -> $176.00 (+7.43%) on 7 units, and Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Silverquill Influence (Manapool) gained VWAP $58.38 -> $62.66 (+7.34%) on 5 units — an interesting divergence since Silverquill Influence declined 9.68% on TCGPlayer during the same period. All Manapool movers are on thin volume (none above 8 units), so treat these as directional signals rather than firm trends.
Top Decliners
Secrets of Strixhaven Silverquill Prerelease Pack leads TCGPlayer decliners with VWAP $50.40 -> $40.53 (-19.58%) on 23 units, $932 revenue, 23 orders. Supply ticked up — avg qty 52.7 -> 56.5 (+7.16%) — and sellers grew from 19.6 -> 21.0 (+6.91%). Sell-through 0.4073. New sellers entering the market and putting downward pressure on price. This is textbook post-launch prerelease pack correction as the initial rush cools and more inventory surfaces.
Secrets of Strixhaven Witherbloom Prerelease Pack fell VWAP $55.01 -> $45.71 (-16.92%) on 35 units, $1,600 revenue, 34 orders. Despite a sell-through reading of 1.0938, supply and sellers both grew: avg qty 25.9 -> 32.0 (+23.42%) and sellers 11.6 -> 14.9 (+28.53%). The high sell-through paired with growing supply means new listings are flooding in faster than the trailing average captures — plenty of product moved, but more kept showing up behind it. Same prerelease normalization dynamic as Silverquill, just steeper.
Marvel Super Heroes Collector Booster Display dropped VWAP $559.65 -> $500.41 (-10.59%) on 60 units, $30,025 revenue, 45 orders — still a top-10 revenue product despite the pullback. Sellers grew from 32.0 -> 36.3 (+13.44%) while supply barely moved at avg qty 216.3 -> 212.4 (-1.81%). More sellers competing at roughly the same inventory level is a straightforward recipe for price compression. At a $500 VWAP this remains a premium product, but the trend is clearly downward.
Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander Decks Set of 2 declined VWAP $57.41 -> $51.56 (-10.18%) on 56 units, $2,887 revenue, 40 orders. Supply expanded meaningfully — avg qty 195.1 -> 233.4 (+19.65%) — while sellers held flat at 42.0 -> 42.1. Sell-through 0.2399. More inventory sitting on shelves without proportional demand to absorb it. A clean supply-driven decline.
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Witherbloom Pestilence fell VWAP $63.74 -> $57.27 (-10.15%) on 86 units, $4,925 revenue, 86 orders. This product is flagged as a probable restock event: supply doubled from avg qty 57.6 -> 117.4 (+103.89%) and sellers jumped 22.3 -> 36.8 (+64.96%). Sell-through 0.7327 is decent in isolation, but it’s getting overwhelmed by the wave of new inventory. Treat the price decline as restock pressure, not a demand problem — 86 one-unit orders in a week is strong activity, and the price may stabilize once the inventory surge is absorbed.
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Silverquill Influence declined VWAP $67.61 -> $61.07 (-9.68%) on 79 units, $4,824 revenue, 79 orders. Supply grew — avg qty 132.8 -> 163.6 (+23.22%) and sellers 51.1 -> 58.2 (+14.06%). Sell-through 0.4830. Similar to Witherbloom Pestilence, this looks like supply expansion driving prices lower rather than weakening demand. 79 one-unit orders is solid weekly velocity, and the Manapool VWAP for this same deck actually rose 7.34% — a cross-platform divergence worth tracking.
On Manapool, the largest percentage drops came from low-volume products. Murders at Karlov Manor Play Booster Pack (Manapool) fell VWAP $5.15 -> $4.05 (-21.36%) on just 3 units, and Bloomburrow Play Booster Pack (Manapool) dropped VWAP $6.39 -> $5.03 (-21.28%) on 9 units — both too thin to draw conclusions from. Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Case (Manapool) declined VWAP $237.94 -> $209.00 (-12.16%) on 5 units. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Commander Deck Turtle Power (Manapool) fell VWAP $49.89 -> $45.12 (-9.54%) with 58 units across only 5 orders, suggesting bulk sales drove the volume. Secret of Strixhaven Collector Booster Display (Manapool) dipped VWAP $494.18 -> $450.98 (-8.74%) on 29 units — meaningful volume, and notably the Manapool VWAP landed above the TCGPlayer VWAP of $441.75 for the same product.
Supply / Velocity Read-Through
The TCGPlayer sell-through table this week is heavily weighted toward Strixhaven products, which hold 7 of the 11 positions above 1.0. The tightest product is Secret of Strixhaven Collector Booster Display at sell-through 1.7225 — demand is pulling inventory considerably faster than it’s being replaced. Edge of Eternities Play Booster Display (1.4452) and Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle (1.4398) are also absorbing well above replenishment pace. On the other end, several Strixhaven Commander decks saw supply surge post-launch, with Witherbloom Pestilence doubling its available inventory. The overall read: the premium Strixhaven SKUs — Collector Boosters, Cases, Codex Bundles — are tightening, while entry-level products like Commander decks and prerelease packs are in a supply glut as more sellers enter the market.
| Product | Sell-Through | Avg Qty | Supply Δ | Sellers Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoS Coll Booster Display | 1.7225 | 242.1 | +9.98% | +12.74% |
| Edge of Eternities Play Booster … | 1.4452 | 202.0 | -14.96% | -5.50% |
| SoS Codex Bundle | 1.4398 | 68.8 | -22.28% | -17.26% |
| SoS Cmdr Case | 1.3992 | 159.4 | +18.11% | +6.93% |
| Modern Horizons 3 Cmdr Eldrazi I… | 1.1788 | 22.9 | -44.49% | -32.87% |
| Bloomburrow Cmdr Peace Offering | 1.1031 | 49.0 | -27.86% | -31.07% |
| SoS Witherbloom Prerelease Pack | 1.0938 | 32.0 | +23.42% | +28.53% |
| LOTR Cmdrs Set of 4 | 1.0903 | 122.9 | -16.79% | -3.89% |
| Universes Beyond Fallout Hail Ca… | 1.0660 | 28.1 | -18.71% | -18.06% |
| SoS Collector Booster Pack | 1.0554 | 285.2 | +37.68% | +14.58% |
| SoS Play Booster Display | 1.0515 | 476.5 | -8.81% | -4.46% |
Secret of Strixhaven Collector Booster Display (sell-through 1.7225, avg qty 242.1), Edge of Eternities Play Booster Display (sell-through 1.4452, avg qty 202.0), Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle (sell-through 1.4398, avg qty 68.8), Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Case (sell-through 1.3992, avg qty 159.4), and Bloomburrow Commander Deck Peace Offering (sell-through 1.1031, avg qty 49.0) represent the tightest inventory situations on TCGPlayer this period. Peace Offering stands out for its steep seller attrition (-31.07%) on top of the high sell-through — that combination tends to accelerate price moves.
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Witherbloom Pestilence saw supply double (avg qty 57.6 -> 117.4, +103.89%) with sellers up 64.96% — a clear restock wave, flagged as such in the data. Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander Decks Set of 2 added nearly 20% more inventory (avg qty 195.1 -> 233.4) on flat seller counts, suggesting existing sellers are deepening positions rather than new entrants arriving. Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Silverquill Influence grew supply 23.22% with 14% more sellers entering the market, spreading inventory across a wider base of competing listings.
California leads TCGPlayer seller volume at 12.6% of tracked units, followed by New York (9.8%), Arizona (6.4%), Oregon (5.8%), and Ohio (5.4%). The top five states account for roughly 40% of total volume. At the city level, Ontario, OR leads with 3,515 units — likely concentrated in a single large operation. Westminster, CA (1,931 units), Platteville, WI (1,627 units), and Brooklyn, NY (1,613 units) round out the top four cities. Canadian provinces Ontario and Quebec appear with 1,176 and 698 units respectively. Coverage sits at 100% across 466 located sellers.
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Witherbloom Pestilence carries a probable restock signal flag — supply doubled and sellers grew 65% in one period, so the -10.15% decline is most likely a supply flood rather than a demand problem. The Lord of the Rings Tales of Middle earth Commander Deck Elven Council traded only 22 units; the +9.81% gain is low confidence given thin volume. Secrets of Strixhaven Witherbloom Prerelease Pack shows a sell-through above 1.0 (1.0938) despite visibly growing supply and seller counts — this is an artifact of new listings arriving in bursts; the price action (-16.92%) is more informative than the sell-through reading here.
Opinionated Takeaways
Strixhaven Is Splitting Into Two Markets
The premium sealed SKUs (Collector Booster Display, Codex Bundle, Commander Deck Case) are tightening with sell-through ratios above 1.3, while Commander decks and prerelease packs are in a restock flood. If you’re sitting on Collector Booster Displays, the absorption data says patience is being rewarded — supply is leaving faster than it’s arriving. If you loaded up on Commander deck inventory at launch, you’re now competing with a wave of new sellers driving prices down 10%. This split could narrow quickly if a second wave of Collector Booster supply hits distributors, but for now the premium end looks considerably stronger. Grain of salt as always — we’re one restock event away from a different story.
FINAL FANTASY Cross-Platform Strength Is the Cleanest Signal This Week
FINAL FANTASY Play Booster Display gained 17.43% on TCGPlayer and 9.95% on Manapool simultaneously, with supply declining on both platforms. Cross-platform price moves on falling inventory are harder to dismiss as noise or marketplace-specific quirks. This set has been out for several months and is still posting gains with thinning seller counts — that profile looks more like sustained collector and player demand than speculative churn. Not investment advice, but if I’m looking for a product where the data tells a coherent story across venues, this is the one.
The Week-Over-Week Dip Is Normal Post-Launch Cooling
Revenue fell 9% and units fell 14% from last week. That sounds rough until you remember last week had the full momentum of a Strixhaven launch window. A single-digit revenue pullback after a launch spike is expected — the daily breakdown shows no cliff, just a gentle taper from Monday’s $157.8K peak to Saturday’s $114.6K. The market is settling, not retreating. I’d worry if next week drops another 10%+, but this week’s numbers look like healthy normalization.
Bloomburrow Peace Offering Might Be a Late-Cycle Sleeper
Sell-through 1.1031, sellers down 31%, supply down 28%, and price up 13%. A Bloomburrow-era Commander deck posting these numbers months after release is exhibiting textbook late-cycle scarcity. At $62.90 VWAP it’s still in the affordable range for Commander products, and if the seller attrition continues another couple of weeks, the remaining inventory reprices higher. The caveat: only 54 units traded, so this could reverse just as quickly if a seller restocks. Small markets move fast in both directions.
What To Watch Next Week
Watch whether the Secret of Strixhaven Collector Booster Display sell-through (currently 1.7225) sustains or whether distributor restocks bring new supply. At $441.75 VWAP with tightening inventory, a restock event could create a sharp price correction like we’re already seeing in the Commander decks. If sell-through stays above 1.5 next week, the supply picture gets materially tighter.
FINAL FANTASY Play Booster Display supply has been falling with avg qty now at 238.7 and sellers at 88.9. If avg qty drops below 200 with sellers continuing to exit, the price move could accelerate past the current $178.56 VWAP. The question is whether demand holds at these levels or buyers start balking at a product that was $152 two weeks ago.
Marvel Super Heroes Collector Booster Display lost over 10% on growing seller counts this week but still moved $30K in revenue. Next week will tell us whether this is a one-week correction or the start of a longer downtrend. Seller count (36.3) against supply (212.4 avg qty) suggests plenty of inventory remains — if sellers start competing more aggressively for a share of that volume, sub-$475 is plausible.
— The MTGsold Team
Calculation Notes & Disclaimers
- Metrics are based on MTGsold internal sales/listing snapshots for the report window only.
avg qty= average of daily inventory (most complete scrape per day, by seller coverage), not a sum of all intraday listings.sell-through=units sold this week / avg qty this week; values above 1 indicate inventory turned over multiple times.- Percentage changes are week-over-week versus the prior-week baseline; very small baselines can exaggerate % moves.
- Listings are marketplace snapshots and may include relists, temporary removals, and scrape gaps, so flagged low-confidence moves should be treated cautiously.
- Marketplace sections are segmented to avoid cross-stream blending of metrics.