Weekly Report (Jul 6-12, 2026)
Weekly Market Pulse
TCGPlayer moved $1,021,821.86 across 6,096 units and 4,904 orders this week, revenue up 3.26% and units down 3.67% against the prior week’s 6,328 units and $989,575.96. Last week I flagged the July 4 weekend as a seasonal dip and said the recovery would show up as units back above 6,000 and revenue near the million-dollar line. Both happened. Units cleared 6,000, revenue crossed a million again, and the daily line ran $128K to $177K with no single soft day. I am comfortable calling the holiday dip seasonal now rather than the start of a Marvel cooldown.
The revenue leaderboard tells you where the money went, and it is not where the volume is. FINAL FANTASY Collector Booster Display led at $156,632 on 101 units, at a $1,550.81 VWAP that is by far the highest per-unit price in the cohort. The Hobbit Collector Booster Display came second at $112,608 on 139 units, and that one is worth stopping on, because The Hobbit does not release until August 14. What you are looking at is preorder money: buyers paying $810 a box for a product that is not in hand yet. Marvel Super Heroes Collector Booster Display was third at $83,740 on 183 units. Three collector displays, all above $80K, carried the top of the market while the unit count sat in booster packs and precons underneath them.
For the calendar: there was no Banned and Restricted update this week, the last was June 29 and the next is August 10, so none of this price action traces to a ban. Festival in a Box: Amsterdam went on sale July 13, and the Marvel Pro Tour runs July 17 to 19 in Amsterdam, which keeps a spotlight on Marvel demand heading into next week.
| Product | Revenue | Units | VWAP | WoW |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF Coll Booster Display | $156,632.19 | 101 | $1550.81 | +6.35% |
| The Hobbit Coll Booster Display | $112,608.49 | 139 | $810.13 | +5.87% |
| Marvel Super Heroes Coll Booster… | $83,739.54 | 183 | $457.59 | +0.25% |
| The Hobbit Play Booster Display | $82,672.30 | 452 | $182.90 | -2.95% |
| Marvel Super Heroes Play Booster… | $70,019.13 | 622 | $112.57 | -8.22% |
| Marvel Super Heroes Play Booster… | $29,907.08 | 48 | $623.06 | -1.50% |
| Marvel Super Heroes Jumpstart Bo… | $26,546.36 | 160 | $165.91 | +7.43% |
| FF Play Booster Display | $24,089.91 | 108 | $223.05 | +2.28% |
| Edge of Eternities Coll Booster … | $23,053.35 | 35 | $658.67 | +10.73% |
| SoS Coll Booster Display | $17,175.02 | 38 | $451.97 | -4.75% |
Top Gainers
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Prerelease Pack leads TCGPlayer gainers, VWAP $20.62 -> $23.10 (+12.02%) on 33 units and $762.41 in revenue. I want to be honest about how thin that is: 33 units is a rounding error, sell-through was 0.0450, and supply barely moved at +3.45%. There is chatter that distributors have run dry on Ninja Turtles product, which would fit a slow price grind on a set that stopped getting restocked, but I could not confirm it anywhere. Treat it as a rumor and treat the move as directional.
FINAL FANTASY Collector Booster Pack rose on TCGPlayer, VWAP $125.57 -> $140.28 (+11.72%) on 22 units and $3,086 in revenue. This is the single-pack version of the same collector-tier strength driving the display. Even with 20% more supply and 20% more sellers showing up this week (supply +19.47%, sellers +20.00%), the price still went up. Sell-through was only 0.2057, so this is not a scarcity crunch. It is buyers willing to pay more for FINAL FANTASY collector product regardless of how much of it is listed.
The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander Deck Veloci Ramp Tor climbed on TCGPlayer, VWAP $104.90 -> $116.95 (+11.49%) on 67 units and $7,835 in revenue. This is a 2023 precon, and it is quietly tightening: supply fell 27.56% to an average of 36.4 listings and sell-through ran 1.8392, meaning the shelf turned over almost twice. I flagged it last week as a new entrant on the sell-through table and it kept going. No reprint news, no event. Just a slow drain on an older deck.
Edge of Eternities Collector Booster Display gained on TCGPlayer, VWAP $594.84 -> $658.67 (+10.73%) on 35 units, up from 20 a week earlier, for $23,053 in revenue. This is the most real of the gainers in dollar terms, and there is a plausible reason behind it: Star Trek spoilers begin July 14, and Edge of Eternities is Magic’s space set. Buyers front-running thematic crossover demand before a new set is even revealed is exactly the kind of thing this market does. Supply came down 13.4% and sell-through was 0.69, so the move has some inventory support under it, not just a couple of high sales.
Marvel Super Heroes Prerelease Pack rose on TCGPlayer, VWAP $28.65 -> $31.69 (+10.61%) on 156 units and $4,943 in revenue, though volume was down from 329 the week before. The interesting number is supply: it dropped 23.66% to an average of 696.9 listings. That overhang has been enormous since release, and this is the first week it started working down in a meaningful way. Sell-through is still only 0.2239, so there is a long way to go, but the direction finally changed.
Bloomburrow Commander Deck Squirreled Away gained on TCGPlayer, VWAP $70.86 -> $77.94 (+10.00%) on 51 units and $3,975 in revenue. Supply eased 17.40% and sell-through was 0.53. Nothing in the news explains it, and I looked. It reads as ordinary demand on a well-liked 2024 precon slowly working down its listings.
On Manapool, Modern Horizons 3 Play Booster Pack (Manapool) posted the biggest percentage gain, $6.27 -> $7.98 (+27.24%), but that was 4 units across a single order, so it is noise more than signal; its Modern Horizons 3 Play Booster Display (Manapool) sibling saw listings build 30.57% at the same time. Universes Beyond The Lord of the Rings Tales of Middle-earth Collector Booster Sample Pack (Manapool) gained $10.99 -> $13.49 (+22.75%) on 12 units while its supply fell 60.62%, though on a tiny base. The one Manapool gainer that matters is Marvel Super Heroes Jumpstart Booster Display (Manapool), $146.40 -> $174.18 (+18.98%) on 15 units, with supply down 64.59% and sell-through 1.4754. The Jumpstart crunch is not a TCGPlayer-only story; it shows up here too. The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander Deck Veloci Ramp Tor (Manapool) added 14.00% on 4 units. Every count here is small, so read them as direction, not magnitude.
Top Decliners
Marvel Super Heroes Commander Deck Doom Prevails leads TCGPlayer decliners, VWAP $93.15 -> $83.48 (-10.38%) on 110 units and $9,183 in revenue. Average listings rose 11.69% to 178.7 and sell-through settled at 0.6157. Here is the part I would not have guessed on my own: there is a confirmed second wave of Commander reprints coming, and a supply build like this ahead of a known reprint has a simple read, which is that people holding inventory are trying to sell into strength before the new print run lands. I cannot prove that is what happened. But the timing fits, and it is a more honest explanation than ‘demand fell,’ because a 0.6157 sell-through says demand did not fall.
Avatar The Last Airbender Play Booster Display fell on TCGPlayer, VWAP $131.69 -> $120.21 (-8.72%) on 86 units, up from 50 the week before, for $10,338 in revenue. Supply grew 13.1% and sell-through was a soft 0.18. More units moved, at a lower price, with more inventory available. That is a product finding a lower clearing level, not a demand event.
Marvel Super Heroes Commander Deck Avengers Assemble declined on TCGPlayer, VWAP $68.06 -> $62.44 (-8.26%) on 128 units and $7,992 in revenue. Listings rose 14.6% to 171.6 and sell-through held at 0.7460, the healthiest of the four Marvel decks. Same story as Doom Prevails: supply built, price gave way, but the shelf is still turning over three-quarters of the way every week. If insiders are clearing ahead of the reprint wave, this is what it looks like on a deck people actually want.
Marvel Super Heroes Play Booster Display slipped on TCGPlayer, VWAP $122.66 -> $112.57 (-8.22%) on 622 units and $70,019 in revenue, which is still the fifth-largest revenue line in the whole cohort. The number that stands out is inventory: average listings crossed 1,200 for the first time, up 17.0% to 1,207.8. Sell-through held at 0.5150 even against that pile, so the demand is genuinely there. There is just a lot of this product now.
Marvel Super Heroes Commander Deck The Fantastic Four fell on TCGPlayer, VWAP $61.59 -> $56.90 (-7.62%) on 122 units and $6,942 in revenue. This one had the steepest supply build of the group, average listings up 27.60% to 212.9, at a 0.5730 sell-through. A month ago this was the Marvel deck with the most consistent demand across the restock cycle. Now it is carrying the most added inventory. If the reprint-front-running read is right anywhere, it is here.
Marvel Super Heroes Commander Deck Wakanda Forever declined on TCGPlayer, VWAP $53.37 -> $49.88 (-6.54%) on 146 units and $7,282 in revenue. Listings rose 17.06% to 244.5 and sell-through was 0.5972. It is the cheapest of the four decks and it is behaving like the other three: more supply, softer price, demand still intact underneath. The whole Marvel Commander shelf is doing the same thing at once, and that synchrony is itself the signal.
On Manapool, Avatar The Last Airbender Play Booster Pack (Manapool) dropped hardest, $6.23 -> $3.98 (-36.12%), but that was 4 units on one order, so I would not read much into the percentage. Magic The Gathering Foundations Play Booster Pack (Manapool) fell $6.58 -> $4.90 (-25.53%), also a single order. The Marvel decks echoed their TCGPlayer selves here: Marvel Super Heroes Commander Deck Wakanda Forever (Manapool) eased 12.73% while its listings built 60.75%, and Marvel Super Heroes Commander Deck Avengers Assemble (Manapool) slid 9.17% on supply up 48.63%, the same build-and-soften pattern. Marvel Super Heroes Commander Deck Doom Prevails (Manapool) added 34.84% more listings, and FINAL FANTASY Collector Booster Sample Pack (Manapool) saw supply thin 33.80%, which quietly rhymes with the collector-tier drawdown on TCGPlayer. Small counts throughout, so direction over magnitude.
Supply / Velocity Read-Through
The tightest products on TCGPlayer are where the week gets interesting, because the crunch has moved off Marvel and onto a scattering of older product nobody is talking about. Jumpstart Booster Display is still the tightest thing that trades in volume, at a 2.9041 sell-through, but I will come back to it because its supply story reversed. Below it, Tarkir Dragonstorm Commander Deck Sultai Arisen ran a 2.3478 sell-through as its listings fell 42.09% to an average of 26.8 and its seller count dropped 38.43%. Its shelf-mate Tarkir Dragonstorm Commander Deck Abzan Armor lost 31.83% of its supply over the same stretch. These are 2025 set precons with no reprint news and no event I could find. They are simply drying up.
The same thing is happening to genuinely old product. The Brothers War Collector Booster Pack is from a 2022 set, and its supply fell 39.27% this week to an average of 51.4 listings at a 1.2441 sell-through. Universes Beyond Fallout Commander Deck Case tightened 34.52% at a 1.3666 sell-through. I looked for a catalyst on all of these and came up empty, so I am not going to invent one. What I can say is that the pattern is consistent: aging and out-of-print sealed product is being bought faster than it is being relisted, and the price signal is lagging the supply signal. That is usually the more interesting half of the market, precisely because nobody is watching it.
On the carryover front, the two Marvel Scene Boxes are stabilizing the boring way. Villains Unleashed sat at $25.01 with a 0.1896 sell-through, Heroes United at $27.89 with 0.1750, and neither hit the 0.30 sell-through I said last week would signal a floor. The demand did not show up. But the supply drained hard anyway, average listings down 26.57% and 28.83%, as sellers gave up and delisted. A market can tighten because buyers arrive or because sellers leave. This is the second kind, which is a weaker floor than the first, but it is still a floor forming.
| Product | Sell-Through | Avg Qty | Supply Δ | Sellers Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvel Super Heroes Jumpstart Bo… | 2.9041 | 55.1 | +23.88% | +25.98% |
| Tarkir Dragonstorm Cmdr Sultai A… | 2.3478 | 26.8 | -42.09% | -38.43% |
| The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Cmdr … | 1.8392 | 36.4 | -27.56% | -11.55% |
| Universes Beyond Fallout Cmdr Case | 1.3666 | 22.0 | -34.52% | -9.16% |
| The Brothers War Collector Boost… | 1.2441 | 51.4 | -39.27% | -5.25% |
| FF Coll Booster Display | 1.0777 | 93.7 | -12.34% | -11.55% |
Tightest inventory on TCGPlayer: Jumpstart Booster Display (sell-through 2.9041, though its average listings actually rebuilt to 55.1), Sultai Arisen (2.3478 at avg qty 26.8, supply down 42.09%), Veloci Ramp Tor (1.8392 at avg qty 36.4), Fallout Commander Deck Case (1.3666 at avg qty 22.0, supply down 34.52%), The Brothers War Collector Booster Pack (1.2441 at avg qty 51.4, supply down 39.27%), and FINAL FANTASY Collector Booster Display (1.0777 at avg qty 93.7, supply down 12.34%).
Heaviest inventory on TCGPlayer: Marvel Super Heroes Play Booster Display (average listings 1,207.8, up 17.0%, but sell-through still 0.5150), Marvel Super Heroes Prerelease Pack (696.9, finally down 23.66%, sell-through 0.2239), the two Marvel Scene Boxes (432.5 and 388.5, both draining fast), and Magic The Gathering Foundations Play Booster Display (supply up 44.39%, which is by design, since Foundations is meant to stay in print for years).
Washington ran the seller map again at 12.5% of located supply, and Seattle by itself accounted for 14,497 units, more than any entire state outside the top four. California followed at 8.9%, Florida at 6.9%, Oregon at 6.2%, Texas at 5.6%, and Idaho at 5.4%. After Seattle, the busiest cities were Ontario, Oregon at 4,984 units and Kissimmee, Florida at 4,121. Coverage was complete this week, 100% across 581 located sellers.
A few moves need a caution label. Marvel Super Heroes Gift Bundle carries a probable-restock-signal flag, with supply up 65.77% and sellers up 59.88% in one week, so read its numbers as inventory arriving rather than demand shifting. The thin gainers and decliners deserve the same skepticism: the Ninja Turtles Prerelease Pack moved on 33 units, the FINAL FANTASY Collector Booster Pack on 22 units across 13 orders, and most of the Manapool moves rest on a single order each, so their percentages overstate what actually happened. I also set aside a Manapool supply spike on The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander Deck Explorers of the Deep (listings up 62.96%) because it fired off a tiny baseline with no sales behind it to corroborate.
Opinionated Takeaways
The Marvel Release Crunch Is Over. Now Watch the Dump.
All four Marvel Commander decks fell together this week, between 6.54% and 10.38%, and every one of them added supply, somewhere from 12% to 28% more listings. A month ago these were the tightest products in the dataset. The obvious reading is that the release scarcity finally resolved, and that is true. But there is a sharper version. There is a confirmed second wave of Commander reprints on the way, and when supply builds across an entire product line right before a known reprint, the people doing the building are usually clearing inventory before the new print run kills the premium. I cannot prove intent from a supply chart. What I can say is that sell-through stayed between 0.57 and 0.75 on all four decks, so this was not demand walking away. It was supply arriving early, possibly on purpose.
FINAL FANTASY Collector Boosters Are a One-Way Door
The Collector Booster Display crossed $1,500 this week, $1,458.22 -> $1,550.81, moved $156,632 to top the revenue board, and turned its entire shelf over once at a 1.0777 sell-through while supply fell 12.34%. What makes this different from every other tightening product is that the supply can never come back. FINAL FANTASY Collector Boosters contain 77 serialized Traveling Chocobo cards, and that serialization is exactly why Wizards cannot reprint the box without gutting it. So the pool only drains. On top of that structural fact, the box got talked about across the MTG YouTube world this week, which pulled in a crowd of sellers hoping to flip quickly. A fixed, shrinking supply plus a fresh wave of people cracking boxes to chase a flip is a combustible mix, and it usually resolves with a lot of volatility before it resolves with a stable price.
Jumpstart: Same Price Leg, Different Supply Story
Last week I told you to watch for Jumpstart supply dropping below 40, which would have set up a run at $170 to $180. The supply did the opposite. Average listings rebuilt 23.88% to 55.1, and yet the price still climbed 7.43% to $165.91, with sell-through holding at 2.9041. That combination is genuinely hard to read. Wizards delayed Jumpstart Boosters specifically in North America and Latin America over production and shipping problems, and it looks like those held-up shipments are finally arriving, which explains the supply bounce. But buyers are still absorbing almost three times the shelf every week, which is why the price kept rising into the new inventory. I am not going to pick a side. If the shipments keep landing, the crunch resolves and the price cools. If this was a one-time slug of backlog and the drain resumes, the $170 leg is still live.
The Quiet Crunches Nobody Is Talking About
Away from Marvel and FINAL FANTASY, a handful of older sealed products spent the week tightening with no story attached. The Brothers War Collector Booster Pack, from a 2022 set, lost 39.27% of its supply at a 1.24 sell-through. Tarkir Dragonstorm’s Sultai Arisen precon shed 42.09% of its listings at 2.35. Lost Caverns of Ixalan’s Veloci Ramp Tor kept draining at 1.84. The Fallout Commander Deck Case tightened 34.52% at 1.37. I searched for a reprint announcement, a ban, a tournament result, a creator video, anything, and found nothing for any of them. That is not a disappointment, it is the point. These are the products moving on genuine supply and demand rather than a headline, and they are the ones worth tracking precisely because the attention is all somewhere else.
What To Watch Next Week
Which way Jumpstart’s supply breaks. Listings rebuilt to 55.1 this week even as the price pushed to $165.91 at a 2.9041 sell-through. If the delayed shipments keep arriving, supply keeps climbing and the price finally cools. If this was a one-time backlog and the drain resumes, the run at $170 to $180 is back on. The sell-through is high enough that either outcome is live, and the supply line will tell you which one first.
What the second Commander reprint wave does to the Marvel decks. All four fell this week on rising supply, and sell-through stayed between 0.57 and 0.75, so the demand is still there if the price finds a floor. When the reprint wave actually lands, watch whether these decks hold in the $50 to $90 range or break lower as the pre-positioned inventory clears. A deck that holds after a reprint has real demand; a deck that caves was being propped up by the scarcity.
Whether FINAL FANTASY Collector holds above $1,500. The supply structurally cannot be reprinted, which points the price up over time, but the flippers cracking boxes this week could dump enough listings to stall it in the short run. If the drawdown wins, $1,600 is in reach. If flip supply outruns demand, expect it to chop sideways around $1,500 for a few weeks before the direction settles.
— The MTGsold Team
Calculation Notes & Disclaimers
- Metrics are based on MTGsold internal sales/listing snapshots for the report window only.
avg qty= average of daily inventory (most complete scrape per day, by seller coverage), not a sum of all intraday listings.sell-through=units sold this week / avg qty this week; values above 1 indicate inventory turned over multiple times.- Percentage changes are week-over-week versus the prior-week baseline; very small baselines can exaggerate % moves.
- Listings are marketplace snapshots and may include relists, temporary removals, and scrape gaps, so flagged low-confidence moves should be treated cautiously.
- Marketplace sections are segmented to avoid cross-stream blending of metrics.