Weekly Report (Jun 22–28, 2026)
Weekly Market Pulse
TCGPlayer moved 7,688 units across 6,400 orders for $1,009,252 in revenue — units up 12.5% week-over-week while revenue held essentially flat at -0.6%. The mix shifted toward cheaper Marvel products as release-day restocks pulled down average transaction value even as volume surged. Six of the top ten revenue products are Marvel Super Heroes, led by the Collector Booster Display at $253,280 (552 units, VWAP $458.84) and the Play Booster Display at $179,954 (1,429 units, VWAP $125.93).
Friday June 26 — Marvel Super Heroes official release day — spiked to 1,808 units and $219,755 in revenue, roughly 60% above the week’s daily average. The rest of the week held steady at 934 to 1,226 units. The release-day spike was sharp but contained to a single day; Saturday and Sunday fell back to the 1,100-1,200 range.
The release-week story is about what the restock wave could and could not do. Commander decks that were crunching at 3-4x sell-through last week got massive supply injections — Wakanda Forever supply nearly doubled (+91%), Fantastic Four grew 85%, Doom Prevails and Avengers Assemble each grew ~60%. Prices dropped 6-37%. And yet: Avengers Assemble and Doom Prevails are still posting above 3.0 sell-through. All four Commander decks remain above 1.0. The restock arrived and demand still outpaced it. Meanwhile, the Jumpstart Booster Display — where WotC and distributor supply remains constrained — tightened further to 52.2 avg qty with 3.83 sell-through and a 12.3% price increase.
Beyond Marvel, The Hobbit Collector Booster Display held at $60,223 on 83 units (VWAP $725.58), and FINAL FANTASY Collector Booster Display moved $26,790 at VWAP $1,275.72 on 21 units.
| Product | Revenue | Units | VWAP | WoW |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvel Super Heroes Coll Booster… | $253,279.54 | 552 | $458.84 | -4.83% |
| Marvel Super Heroes Play Booster… | $179,953.55 | 1,429 | $125.93 | -1.88% |
| The Hobbit Coll Booster Display | $60,222.95 | 83 | $725.58 | -0.80% |
| SoS Coll Booster Display | $33,438.66 | 76 | $439.98 | -2.27% |
| Marvel Cmdr Doom Prevails | $28,517.13 | 285 | $100.06 | -13.72% |
| The Hobbit Play Booster Display | $28,306.72 | 147 | $192.56 | -3.80% |
| FF Coll Booster Display | $26,790.16 | 21 | $1,275.72 | +5.57% |
| Marvel Jumpstart Booster Display | $25,713.76 | 200 | $128.57 | +12.34% |
| Marvel Play Booster Display Case | $23,249.67 | 34 | $683.81 | -6.74% |
| Marvel Prerelease Pack | $21,008.03 | 690 | $30.45 | -15.29% |
Top Gainers
Marvel Super Heroes Jumpstart Booster Display leads gainers at VWAP $114.45 -> $128.57 (+12.34%) on 200 units and $25,714 in revenue across 165 orders. Supply contracted sharply at avg qty 88.9 -> 52.2 (-41.32%) with sellers thinning from 17.6 to 14.9 (-15.18%). Sell-through hit 3.8339. This is the only Marvel product where the release-week restock wave did not arrive, and it shows: while every other Marvel SKU saw supply grow 35-100%+, the Jumpstart Display lost another 41% of its inventory. The WotC and distributor supply crunch on this product is ongoing, and at 52.2 avg qty with nearly 4x sell-through, the supply runway is measured in days, not weeks.
FINAL FANTASY Commander Deck FINAL FANTASY VI Revival Trance gained VWAP $32.13 -> $36.06 (+12.21%) on 32 units and $1,154 in revenue. Supply held flat at avg qty 298.1 -> 303.8 (+1.90%) with sellers barely moving at 104.1 -> 101.2 (-2.83%). Sell-through 0.1053 is low. Last week this product dropped 15.4% and I noted the within-set hierarchy had sorted itself out with Revival Trance at the bottom. The bounce-back looks like the same oscillation pattern we have seen on other low-volume Commander decks: a sharp drop followed by a partial recovery as bargain buyers step in. At 32 units, a handful of transactions at slightly higher prices drove the percentage.
Bloomburrow Commander Deck Animated Army climbed VWAP $53.74 -> $60.19 (+12.00%) on 20 units and $1,204 in revenue. Supply contracted at avg qty 125.1 -> 113.0 (-9.63%) with sellers down from 43.3 to 39.3 (-9.13%). Sell-through 0.1769 is modest. Small volume, but the supply direction is consistent — fewer listings, fewer sellers, price responding. Bloomburrow Commander decks have been a slow grind rather than a spike story.
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Witherbloom Pestilence gained VWAP $48.12 -> $53.38 (+10.95%) on 20 units and $1,068 in revenue. The supply picture is unusual — avg qty actually increased from 106.6 to 130.4 (+22.34%) while sellers held flat at 38.9 -> 38.3. Sell-through 0.1534. Price climbing despite rising supply suggests genuine demand pull rather than a supply squeeze, but at 20 units this could reverse next week. Witherbloom has been the strongest Strixhaven Commander deck by sell-through across the tracking window.
Avatar The Last Airbender Collector Booster Pack gained VWAP $35.78 -> $39.58 (+10.63%) on 26 units and $1,029 in revenue across 15 orders. Supply is draining at avg qty 202.0 -> 178.0 (-11.88%), sellers 28.5 -> 25.6 (-10.18%). The 15 orders on 26 units means some multi-unit purchases. Sell-through 0.1460 is modest individually, but both Avatar collector products gained this week on coordinated supply contraction.
Avatar The Last Airbender Collector Booster Display gained VWAP $372.45 -> $410.28 (+10.16%) on 27 units and $11,077 in revenue. Supply continued thinning at avg qty 246.0 -> 212.0 (-13.82%), sellers 68.5 -> 60.8 (-11.26%). Sell-through 0.1273. Both Avatar collector products — pack and display — showing coordinated tightening on supply, sellers, and price. At $410 per display the dollar commitment filters demand to committed buyers, and those buyers tend to be stickier. Worth tracking as a pair.
On Manapool, Tarkir Dragonstorm Play Booster Display (Manapool) led with VWAP +12.69% on 6 units. Dominaria Remastered Draft Booster Pack (Manapool) gained +12.34% on 3 units. Marvel Super Heroes Jumpstart Booster Display (Manapool) saw 12 units move at VWAP $140.18 (+9.76%) with sell-through 0.5122. Bloomburrow Play Booster Pack (Manapool) was up +8.77% on 4 units, and FINAL FANTASY Commander Deck Counter Blitz (Manapool) gained +5.65% on 7 units. Thin volumes across the board — directional only.
Top Decliners
Marvel Super Heroes Commander Deck Wakanda Forever led decliners with VWAP $84.87 -> $53.22 (-37.29%). The story is restock: avg qty nearly doubled from 117.1 -> 224.2 (+91.42%) and sellers surged from 15.4 to 36.6 (+138.08%). Last week this product posted a +56.6% gain on thin volume (27 units) that we flagged as a liquidity artifact. This week volume returned to 251 units and the price normalized. Despite the steep decline, sell-through 1.1193 means the market absorbed new supply faster than it arrived at $53. The restock repriced the product; the demand is still there.
Marvel Super Heroes Commander Deck The Fantastic Four dropped VWAP $68.80 -> $54.76 (-20.40%) on 291 units and $15,935 revenue across 276 orders. Supply nearly doubled at avg qty 96.9 -> 179.7 (+85.41%), sellers from 15.0 to 29.5 (+96.83%). Sell-through 1.6197 is the second-highest in the sell-through table — demand absorbed supply at 1.6:1 even through the price drop. New entrants listed aggressively below prior VWAP. If the restock wave slows from here, $54 may be where this product stabilizes.
Marvel Super Heroes Scene Box Villains Unleashed fell VWAP $38.61 -> $31.37 (-18.75%). Supply grew to avg qty 666.3 (+35.30%) with sellers nearly doubling from 31.4 to 61.4 (+95.30%). Sell-through 0.0990 on 66 units. Both Scene Boxes continue the pattern from last week: growing supply, growing sellers, almost no demand. At 666 units of average inventory moving 66 per week, the existing supply alone would take ten weeks to clear at current velocity without further price cuts.
Marvel Super Heroes Collector Booster Pack declined VWAP $54.05 -> $45.08 (-16.59%) on 337 units and $15,192 across 193 orders. Supply held relatively flat at avg qty 574.5 -> 535.4 (-6.81%), but sellers jumped from 20.2 to 31.6 (+56.24%), meaning new entrants listed below prior prices. Sell-through 0.6295. The per-pack economics are getting compressed as more sellers compete at the lower price.
Marvel Super Heroes Scene Box Heroes United slid VWAP $37.60 -> $31.49 (-16.23%). Supply grew from avg qty 459.4 -> 620.1 (+34.98%) with sellers more than doubling from 26.4 to 53.0 (+100.72%). Sell-through 0.1306 on 81 units. Same dynamic as Villains Unleashed. Both Scene Boxes are now below $32 with 600+ avg inventory and no demand floor in sight.
Marvel Super Heroes Prerelease Pack dropped VWAP $35.94 -> $30.45 (-15.29%) on 690 units across 469 orders for $21,008 revenue. Supply surged from avg qty 599.1 -> 961.4 (+60.48%), sellers from 28.6 to 53.0 (+85.02%). Sell-through 0.7177 shows solid velocity at the lower price despite the supply flood. This is release-week supply normalization on top of the prerelease event stock that was already in the channel.
On Manapool, Streets of New Capenna Collector Booster Pack (Manapool) fell -27.75% to VWAP $21.51 on 3 units. Marvel Commander Deck Wakanda Forever (Manapool) mirrored TCGPlayer at -27.71% (VWAP $50.14, 22 units, sell-through 0.8851). Marvel Commander Deck Fantastic Four (Manapool) dropped -18.35% on 9 units. FINAL FANTASY Play Booster Pack (Manapool) was down -11.56% on 25 units, and Secrets of Strixhaven Play Booster Display (Manapool) fell -11.02% on 3 units. The Marvel Commander deck restock pattern tracked across both platforms.
Supply / Velocity Read-Through
Seven products above 1.0 sell-through this week, down from nine last week. The sell-through table is still wall-to-wall Marvel, but the shape changed. The top three — Jumpstart Booster Display (3.83x, avg qty 52.2), Avengers Assemble (3.78x, avg qty 66.2), and Doom Prevails (3.27x, avg qty 87.3) — are all still above 3.0 despite Avengers and Doom receiving 58-60% supply increases this week. The restock wave arrived at the Commander deck tier and sell-through barely flinched. Last week we asked whether the restock would slow the Commander crunch. The answer is: not enough.
The Jumpstart Booster Display deserves separate attention. WotC and distributor supply constraints remain in effect on this product, and it shows. While every other Marvel SKU saw supply grow 35-100%+ on release week, Jumpstart lost another 41% of its inventory. At 52.2 avg qty with 14.9 sellers and 3.83x sell-through, available listings are thinning toward the point where individual large sellers control pricing. VWAP moved $114 to $129 on the tightest supply profile in the cohort.
Collector Booster Display (1.87x, avg qty 295.9) and Play Booster Display (1.81x, avg qty 788.2) are healthy — absorbing above 1:1 with much larger inventory bases, so the supply runway is longer. Fantastic Four (1.62x) and Wakanda Forever (1.12x) are the restocked Commander decks, and their sell-through staying above 1.0 despite 85-91% supply increases confirms demand exists at the lower price points. If the restock wave passes and supply growth slows, their prices stabilize rather than continuing to slide.
Follow-up on prior tracking threads: Duskmourn Endless Punishment Commander Deck posted avg qty 31.2, up from 28.3 — breaking the five-week contraction streak. Sell-through improved to 0.86 and price climbed 3.5% to $194.45. The supply side may be stabilizing, but demand remains strong. Strixhaven Bundle dropped 4.4% to $40.79, supply grew to 486.5, and sell-through fell to 0.21. The decline rate re-accelerated after slowing to -3.3% last week. The floor is not $42; it may be closer to $38-40. FINAL FANTASY Chocobo Bundle eased 2.1% to $286.18, supply grew slightly to 104.9. First decline since the breakout. Sellers grew from 48.9 to 54.6. If it holds above $280 next week, the $290 range is the equilibrium. If it continues declining, $292 may have been the ceiling.
| Product | Sell-Through | Avg Qty | Supply Δ | Sellers Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvel Jumpstart Booster Display | 3.8339 | 52.2 | -41.32% | -15.18% |
| Marvel Cmdr Avengers Assemble | 3.7752 | 66.2 | +58.57% | +104.34% |
| Marvel Cmdr Doom Prevails | 3.2651 | 87.3 | +59.81% | +82.85% |
| Marvel Coll Booster Display | 1.8658 | 295.9 | +37.30% | +31.88% |
| Marvel Play Booster Display | 1.8130 | 788.2 | -1.25% | +16.29% |
| Marvel Cmdr Fantastic Four | 1.6197 | 179.7 | +85.41% | +96.83% |
| Marvel Cmdr Wakanda Forever | 1.1193 | 224.2 | +91.42% | +138.08% |
Tightest inventory: Jumpstart Booster Display (52.2 avg qty, 3.83x, WotC/distributor supply constrained), Avengers Assemble (66.2 avg qty, 3.78x, restocked but still draining), Doom Prevails (87.3 avg qty, 3.27x). All three are seeing demand outpace replenishment even through the release-week restock.
Heaviest inventory: Prerelease Pack (961.4 avg qty, sell-through 0.72), Play Booster Display (788.2 avg qty, sell-through 1.81), Scene Box Villains Unleashed (666.3 avg qty, sell-through 0.10), Scene Box Heroes United (620.1 avg qty, sell-through 0.13). The Scene Boxes carry the deepest concern — heavy supply with sub-0.15 sell-through and no demand signal. Marvel Bundle supply grew another 14% to 538.3 on top of last week’s 320% jump.
California led seller geography at 9.4% of total listed quantity, followed by Washington (8.3%), New York (7.6%), and Kentucky (7.2%). No single state exceeded 10%. South Williamson, KY held the #1 city position at 6,661 units, followed by Seattle (6,413) and Quebec City (4,535). Coverage was 100% across 477 located sellers.
Three decliners — Wakanda Forever, Fantastic Four, and Prerelease Pack — carry probable restock signal flags. Their price drops reflect release-week supply flooding the market rather than demand weakness; sell-through above 0.7 across all three confirms demand at lower prices. On the gainer side, Revival Trance (32 units), Animated Army (20 units), and Witherbloom Pestilence (20 units) all traded thin volume — percentage gains on sub-35 units can be exaggerated by a handful of transactions.
Opinionated Takeaways
The Restock Arrived and It Was Not Enough
Avengers Assemble got a 58% supply increase and is still posting 3.78x sell-through. Doom Prevails got 60% more inventory and is still at 3.27x. Wakanda Forever nearly doubled its supply and is still above 1.0. Distributors restocked the Commander deck tier on release day, prices dropped 6-37%, and demand absorbed almost all of it. If another wave of comparable size does not arrive next week, the products that are still above 3.0 will start climbing again. The market is telling us what it wants, and the supply chain is not keeping up.
Jumpstart Is the Product Nobody Can Get
Every other Marvel SKU saw supply grow 35-100%+ on release week. Jumpstart lost 41% of its inventory. The WotC and distributor supply constraints are creating a genuine scarcity event on a product with proven demand. At 52.2 avg qty and 3.83x sell-through, one more week of this trajectory puts available inventory below 40 units. If you have been wondering whether the Jumpstart delay mattered to the market, the data says it did.
Scene Boxes Broke Below $32 and Nobody Cared
Both Scene Boxes are now below $32 with 600-666 avg inventory, seller counts that doubled in a week, and sell-through below 0.15. Two consecutive weeks of this pattern. At current velocity, existing inventory would take ten weeks to clear on Villains Unleashed. The release-week supply wave made this worse, not better. If there is a demand floor for these products, we have not found it yet.
Avatar Collector Products Are Quietly Coordinating
Both the Collector Booster Pack (+10.6%) and Display (+10.2%) gained on contracting supply and declining sellers. Neither has the volume to call it a spike, but pack-level and box-level tightening moving in the same direction at the same time is the kind of coordination that tends to precede more meaningful price moves. At $410 per display, the buyer pool is naturally filtered to committed collectors, and those buyers do not tend to exit quickly.
What To Watch Next Week
Jumpstart Booster Display below 50 avg qty. Dropped from 88.9 to 52.2 this week on the WotC supply constraint. If it breaks below 40 next week, pricing power shifts entirely to the remaining sellers. Seller count below 12 would be extremely thin liquidity for a product doing $25K+ in weekly revenue.
Commander deck price stabilization. Wakanda Forever ($53.22) and Fantastic Four ($54.76) both showed sell-through above 1.0 despite steep VWAP drops. If the restock wave slows and avg qty stops climbing, prices should find a floor in the $50-55 range. The signal is whether supply growth decelerates next week.
Scene Box demand floor. Both below $32 with 600+ avg inventory and sub-0.15 sell-through. If sell-through does not improve next week while supply keeps growing, sub-$28 is on the table. Two weeks of data now confirming this as the weakest Marvel product type.
Chocobo Bundle at $286. First decline since the breakout. Supply grew slightly, sellers crossed above 50 to 54.6. If it holds above $280, the $285-290 range is the equilibrium. If it keeps declining, the breakout thesis needs revisiting.
— The MTGsold Team
Calculation Notes & Disclaimers
- Metrics are based on MTGsold internal sales/listing snapshots for the report window only.
avg qty= average of daily inventory (most complete scrape per day, by seller coverage), not a sum of all intraday listings.sell-through=units sold this week / avg qty this week; values above 1 indicate inventory turned over multiple times.- Percentage changes are week-over-week versus the prior-week baseline; very small baselines can exaggerate % moves.
- Listings are marketplace snapshots and may include relists, temporary removals, and scrape gaps, so flagged low-confidence moves should be treated cautiously.
- Marketplace sections are segmented to avoid cross-stream blending of metrics.