Weekly Report (Oct 12–18, 2026)
Weekly Market Pulse
- Revenue
- $755,618▾ from $959K
- Units Sold
- 5,722▾ from 7,058
- Sellers
- 534
- WoW Revenue
- -21.2%
The comedown kept going in week three, and this time the boxes that were late showed up for it. On the same 74 products, TCGPlayer did $755,618.29 across 5,722 units and 4,861 orders, revenue -21.17% from $958,526.85 and units -18.93% from 7,058. That’s under every week we’ve published back through Aug 17-23, including Aug 24-30’s $804,360 and Aug 31-Sep 6’s $813,530. Friday was the only day over 1,000 units and Sunday was the lightest at 673. Into that, the delayed Reality Fracture Bundles and Omega packs landed, the Foundations Commander decks refilled, and the Star Trek preorder shelves doubled. More boxes met a fifth fewer buyers, and almost everything that got new stock got cheaper.
Reality Fracture’s share fell from 42.6% to 33.7% on the matched basis, $254,435.51 across 1,719 units from $408,741.64. The Reality Fracture Collector Booster Display did $109,440.10 on 256 units, from 478, and the Reality Fracture Play Booster Display $94,611.66 on 701, from 1,047. Star Trek is the one line that grew: $88,511.37 across 336 units, from $61,213.31 across 219, 11.7% of the cohort, and the price fell on all four of its products. A set that doesn’t release until Nov 13 did 44.6% more business on markdowns. The Hobbit held its share at 12.0%, $90,346.77 across 423 units.
Manapool did $45,878.15 across 406 units and 289 orders over 37 products, from $74,292.92 on the same products last week (see the data note on Manapool’s late-week capture), with Reality Fracture $23,032.50 of it across 188 units.
| Product | Revenue | Units | VWAP | WoW |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reality Fracture Coll Booster Di… | $109,440.10 | 256 | $427.50 | -2.94% |
| Reality Fracture Play Booster Di… | $94,611.66 | 701 | $134.97 | -4.96% |
| The Hobbit Coll Booster Display | $56,352.59 | 82 | $687.23 | -2.80% |
| Star Trek Coll Booster Display | $55,646.21 | 92 | $604.85 | -8.55% |
| Universes Beyond Fallout Cmdr Case | $32,314.25 | 131 | $246.67 | -11.41% |
| UB LOTR Set Booster Box | $30,362.09 | 102 | $297.67 | -0.70% |
| Star Trek Play Booster Display | $27,413.79 | 194 | $141.31 | -7.34% |
| Reality Fracture Cmdr Multiverse… | $22,360.34 | 439 | $50.93 | -9.93% |
| The Hobbit Play Booster Display | $21,355.87 | 147 | $145.28 | -5.05% |
| Reality Fracture Secret Lair Bundle | $20,610.37 | 137 | $150.44 | -17.79% |
Top Gainers
- Price
- $50.77+11.07%
- Units
- 5858 orders
- Sell-through
- 1.3884
- Avg qty
- 41.8+10.35%
- Sellers
- 22.5+30.07%
Foundations Commander Deck Calling All Angels leads TCGPlayer gainers, and it did it on a shelf that refilled every day. The close went from 19 boxes and 12 sellers on Oct 12 to 68 boxes and 36 sellers on Oct 18, and the new listings came in higher, with the median ask going $48.66 -> $51.95. Last week I said the price would hold exactly until the next carton landed. The carton landed, the asks went up to meet it, and buyers took 58 decks, from 130. It’s 69.3% over the $29.99 sticker on less than half the buyers.
- Price
- $48.85+10.62%
- Units
- 5050 orders
- Sell-through
- 0.9038
- Avg qty
- 55.3+28.02%
- Sellers
- 27.5+52.65%
Foundations Commander Deck Reign of Dragons is the same week at a smaller size. Its close went 43 boxes / 22 sellers -> 64 / 35, volume fell to 50 from 115, and the price went up anyway. Sell-through dropped under 1. At 62.9% over sticker on that little volume, this is a price sellers are asking for, and buyers haven’t confirmed it yet.
- Price
- $106.38+9.49%
- Units
- 2919 orders
- Sell-through
- 0.1147
- Avg qty
- 252.9-5.57%
- Sellers
- 51.0-5.74%
Marvel Super Heroes Jumpstart Booster Display gained a second week on TCGPlayer, after the markdown two weeks ago, on 19 orders and a shelf that thinned a little. Nineteen orders can push a $106 box 9% without anything changing underneath, so I’d take the direction and leave it there. No catalyst found.
- Price
- $35.62+7.44%
- Units
- 5049 orders
- Sell-through
- 0.2420
- Avg qty
- 206.6-18.80%
- Sellers
- 65.2-13.86%
Every Marvel Super Heroes Commander shelf shrank this week, and Marvel Super Heroes Commander Deck The Fantastic Four is where it showed up in price. Its own shelf went 254.5 -> 206.6, and the rest of the line drained with it: Marvel Super Heroes Commander Deck Wakanda Forever 252.2 -> 211.4, Doom Prevails 185.8 -> 153.6, Avengers Assemble 178.5 -> 148.2. Volume fell too, 75 to 50 decks. Fewer decks on fewer buyers is supply contraction. No catalyst found.
- Price
- $60.90+5.63%
- Units
- 154154 orders
- Sell-through
- 3.0910
- Avg qty
- 49.8+32.69%
- Sellers
- 26.2+42.13%
Foundations Commander Deck Tramplesaurus Rex crossed double sticker, 103.1% over $29.99, and it’s still the tightest shelf on TCGPlayer after the refill. The close went 34 boxes / 18 sellers on Oct 12 -> 62 / 33 on Oct 18, and sell-through fell from 4.7406 to 3.0910, so this week the shelf grew faster than the buyers did. The price path is $44.32 -> $52.90 -> $57.65 -> $60.90. I don’t know how much of that last step survives a shelf that nearly doubled in a week.
- Price
- $456.04+5.39%
- Units
- 3123 orders
- Sell-through
- 0.2515
- Avg qty
- 123.2-13.44%
- Sellers
- 59.8-11.48%
Marvel Super Heroes Collector Booster Display rose on 23 orders while both its shelf and its seller count thinned, avg qty -13.44% and sellers -11.48%. It’s the same shape as the Marvel decks, one tier up, at $456.04. No catalyst found.
On Manapool, Foundations Commander Deck Reign of Dragons (Manapool) rose $36.92 -> $42.27 (+14.50%) on 6 units with listings 39.1 -> 34.7 (-11.31%); Bloomburrow Commander Deck Peace Offering (Manapool) went $99.14 -> $112.66 (+13.63%) on 4 units with listings 19.3 -> 14.9, while its TCGPlayer copy held $117.50; Foundations Commander Deck Tramplesaurus Rex (Manapool) went $47.33 -> $53.61 (+13.28%) on 6 units with listings 21.3 -> 26.6 (+24.83%); Edge of Eternities Play Booster Pack (Manapool) printed $6.53 -> $7.21 (+10.37%) on 3 units in a single order; and The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander Deck Ahoy Mateys (Manapool) went $43.47 -> $47.36 (+8.94%) on 4 units. Every Manapool gainer this week sits on 3 to 6 units, so treat them as low confidence.
Top Decliners
- Price
- $50.19-18.43%
- Units
- 218207 orders
- Sell-through
- 0.5420
- Avg qty
- 402.2+65.07%
- Sellers
- 77.3+74.76%
Reality Fracture Bundle leads TCGPlayer decliners and broke sticker: $50.19 is 13.5% under $57.99, from 6% over last week. This is the North American stock Wizards said was ‘delayed and may arrive after release,’ arriving. The close went 358 boxes / 65 sellers on Oct 11 -> 476 / 86 on Oct 15, then sold back down to 356 by Sunday, and the low ask touched $38.99 at the peak. Price down with volume up, 218 units from 166, is sellers marking down to clear late boxes, and buyers took them.
- Price
- $150.44-17.79%
- Units
- 137119 orders
- Sell-through
- 1.6487
- Avg qty
- 83.1-43.98%
- Sellers
- 11.5-18.86%
Last week I said the preorder premium on the Reality Fracture Secret Lair Bundle broke. It broke for one shop’s stock. KO-Cards, a Plano, Texas seller, showed up on Oct 6 with 88 copies at $185.00, was at 62 for $173.91 by Oct 11, cut to $143.09 on Oct 13 and $141.65 on Oct 14, and by then it was down to 15 and out of our top-ten snapshot. The whole shelf went with it, 144 copies across 14 sellers to 43 across 8, and 137 sold, from 62. With the block gone, the low ask was back at $168.98 by Oct 16. It’s still 67.2% over the $89.99 sticker, four days before the Oct 23 release.
- Price
- $50.34-14.28%
- Units
- 8072 orders
- Sell-through
- 0.1901
- Avg qty
- 420.9+6.50%
- Sellers
- 89.8+5.04%
The Hobbit Bundle got marked down and buyers took it, 80 units from 44, on a shelf that barely grew. That’s a markdown that worked. No catalyst found.
- Price
- $84.03-11.90%
- Units
- 6662 orders
- Sell-through
- 0.3614
- Avg qty
- 182.6+2.91%
- Sellers
- 50.4-0.33%
Reality Fracture Draft Night slipped under its $89.99 sticker, 6.6% under from 6% over, on about the same volume and an unchanged seller pool. That makes three Reality Fracture products under MSRP on TCGPlayer this week, with the Bundle and the Play Booster Display.
- Price
- $61.15-11.90%
- Units
- 2219 orders
- Sell-through
- 0.0968
- Avg qty
- 227.3+350.02%
- Sellers
- 10.0+109.05%
Star Trek Prerelease Pack had seven sellers on Oct 13 and 13 by Oct 16, when TCG Psyshock listed 148 kits at $61.60 and the close went from 79 to 370. The low ask ran $69.22 -> $46.91 by Sunday. Star Trek Prerelease events start Nov 6, so these are kits for events three weeks out, listed by stores that seem to have more of them than their own preorders took. Twenty-two sold, so the price move is on a thin base.
- Price
- $246.67-11.41%
- Units
- 13186 orders
- Sell-through
- 0.5573
- Avg qty
- 235.1+9.64%
- Sellers
- 75.5+12.15%
Universes Beyond Fallout Commander Deck Case took a third straight cut, $313.04 -> $278.43 -> $246.67 across three reports, and it’s still the fifth-biggest product on TCGPlayer at $32,314.25 on 131 units. The single decks stopped moving: Universes Beyond Fallout Scrappy Survivors Commander Deck 118 -> 61 units at $65.52, Mutant Menace 135 -> 55 at $122.08, Science 111 -> 78 at $39.48. Only Universes Beyond Fallout Hail Caesar Commander Deck is still being marked down, -10.86% to $66.78 with listings 181.3 -> 215.8. The reprint is moving through the case now, cheaper every week, and the loose decks went back to flat.
On Manapool, Reality Fracture Play Booster (Manapool) fell $5.55 -> $4.45 (-19.77%) on 18 units in 2 orders with listings 2,207.1 -> 2,114.0, two orders and low confidence; Universes Beyond Fallout Hail Caesar Commander Deck (Manapool) went $80.50 -> $65.86 (-18.19%) on 8 units with listings 124.1 -> 106.1, the same direction as its TCGPlayer copy’s -10.86% to $66.78; Reality Fracture Commander Deck Multiverse Reforged (Manapool) went $57.97 -> $49.84 (-14.04%) on 37 units, from 164, with listings 132.9 -> 144.0; Reality Fracture Secret Lair Bundle (Manapool) went $167.96 -> $144.98 (-13.68%) on 6 units with listings 65.4 -> 84.0 (+28.38%), growing while the TCGPlayer shelf emptied; Star Trek Play Booster Display (Manapool) went $168.68 -> $146.65 (-13.06%) on 3 units with listings 71.0 -> 126.6 (+78.27%), the same build as TCGPlayer’s on a smaller shelf; and Reality Fracture Bundle (Manapool) went $57.75 -> $54.77 (-5.16%) on 20 units with listings 134.9 -> 168.9 (+25.21%), clearing $4.58 over the TCGPlayer VWAP.
Supply / Velocity Read-Through
Star Trek is five weeks out, and on Oct 14 and 15 the stores showed up on TCGPlayer. Last week the Collector Display shelf was one seller’s listing. This week all four Star Trek preorder shelves stepped up in the same two days, spread across new sellers. The Star Trek Play Booster Display close went 304 boxes / 25 sellers on Oct 13 -> 685 / 36 on Oct 16, with Storm Surge Games alone listing 125 at $140.64. The Star Trek Collector Booster Display went 416 / 34 on Oct 14 -> 625 / 48 on Oct 16, and the Star Trek Beam Me Up Bundle 167 / 19 on Oct 12 -> 291 / 32 on Oct 15. The Gaming Company’s 217 Collector boxes are still listed, repriced $662.80 -> $613.50, and they’re 41% of the shelf now, from 61%; its 88 Beam Me Up Bundles went from 53% of that shelf to 30%. Prices fell on all four and volume rose 53%, 219 -> 336 units, which is sellers cutting to move preorders. My read is that stores finished their own preorder rounds on their own sites and are listing what’s left here, and maybe those rounds came in softer than they hoped. The Collector Display is now 32.7% over its $455.88 pack-equivalent, from 45%, with a $557.95 low ask, and the Play Display is 32.6% under $209.70.
Wizards posted a Star Trek delay notice on Oct 16, after the shelves had already built, and none of these four products is on it for North America. The North American list is Commander decks only, and Play Boosters and Prerelease Packs are ‘on track for availability during Prerelease and release events.’ The Collector Booster and Beam Me Up Bundle delays are in Europe and Asia-Pacific. So the build wasn’t a delay scare, and it wasn’t previews either, since the debut is Tuesday.
Reality Fracture’s late products landed. The Reality Fracture Collector Booster Omega Pack, on Wizards’ North American delay list, went from 13 listings and 3 sellers on Oct 12 to 84 and 26 by Sunday, with a $36.00 low ask. No source confirms a shipment, but the shelf looks like one. The Reality Fracture Collector Booster Display didn’t get one: close 262 -> 254, $440.44 -> $427.50 (-2.94%), a 32% premium over the $323.88 pack-equivalent from 36%, and sell-through 0.9654, under 1 for the first time. Same shelf, half the buyers. The Reality Fracture Play Booster Display shelf peaked at 508 boxes / 102 sellers on Oct 16 and closed at 464; it cleared 701 units at $134.97 (-4.96%), 18.1% under pack-equivalent, the low ask hit $125.00, and at sell-through 1.5140 it’s still the tightest booster-box shelf on TCGPlayer. Reality Fracture Commander Deck Multiverse Reforged built to 674 / 99 on Oct 14 and sold back to 492; it did $50.93 (-9.93%) on 439 units from 757, 1.9% over $49.99, sell-through 0.7443. The Reality Fracture Prerelease Pack printed a $22.99 low ask on Sunday on $35.05 (-4.57%) and 141 units.
Foundations Commander got its restock, and three of the four flagged decks went up anyway. Every flagged shelf grew every day, seller averages rose 30% to 53%, and the line sold 417 units, from 625. Foundations Commander Deck Wretched Ranks is the one that gave back, -2.66% to $39.80 on 62 units with its close 65 -> 69. Foundations Commander Deck Keen Engineering recovered to $29.12 (+3.97%) on 93 units and is still 2.9% under sticker. No restock news found; Wizards’ September notice had these decks ‘partially delayed’ in North America.
Bloomburrow Commander Deck Animated Army got one 24-copy listing at $69.99 from Card-Cycle on Oct 15, under an $85 to $89 median, and its price stayed at $81.12 on 27 units. No catalyst found. The LTR Set Booster Box test didn’t resolve for a third week: $297.67 (-0.70%) on 102 units from 134, sellers 66.2 -> 64.3, sell-through 0.4437, a $284.83 low ask on Sunday, and listings 113.6 -> 108.4 on Manapool, where 11 sold at $302.63.
| Product | Sell-Through | Avg Qty | Supply Δ | Sellers Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foundations Cmdr Tramplesaurus Rex | 3.0910 | 49.8 | +32.69% | +42.13% |
| Reality Fracture Secret Lair Bundle | 1.6487 | 83.1 | -43.98% | -18.86% |
| Reality Fracture Play Booster Di… | 1.5140 | 463.0 | +15.41% | +23.00% |
| Foundations Cmdr Calling All Angels | 1.3884 | 41.8 | +10.35% | +30.07% |
Tightest inventory on TCGPlayer: Foundations Commander Deck Tramplesaurus Rex (3.0910, avg qty 49.8), Reality Fracture Secret Lair Bundle (1.6487, 83.1), Reality Fracture Play Booster Display (1.5140, 463.0), Foundations Commander Deck Calling All Angels (1.3884, 41.8). Four products above 1, from eight last week; the Collector Booster Display (0.9654), Reign of Dragons (0.9038), Wretched Ranks (0.9190), Multiverse Reforged (0.7443) and the Omega Pack (0.6973) all dropped under it.
Heaviest inventory on TCGPlayer: Marvel Super Heroes Play Booster Display (890.1 avg qty, from 815.5, sell-through 0.1146), Marvel Super Heroes Prerelease Pack (789.0), The Hobbit Play Booster Display (729.1), Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster Display (706.3, from 588.1), Marvel Super Heroes Bundle (629.4), Marvels Spider-Man Play Booster Display (619.8), The Hobbit Gift Bundle (613.9), Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Play Booster Display (603.1), Reality Fracture Commander Deck Multiverse Reforged (589.8, from 475.2), Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Commander Deck Turtle Power (509.4), Avatar The Last Airbender Play Booster Display (499.6), Star Trek Collector Booster Display (498.0, from 183.5), Star Trek Play Booster Display (497.5, from 257.3). Both Star Trek preorder displays now carry shelves the size of released sets.
The located seller pool shrank for the first time in three weeks, 534 sellers, down 44 from 578 (583 -> 539 -> 509 -> 553 -> 578 -> 534). Coverage 100.0%. California retook first at 13.4% (13,395 units), Florida moved up to second at 10.1% (10,101) from 8.8%, and Washington fell to 9.4% (9,472) from 13.7% as Seattle went 10,884 -> 5,406. NY 5.6% (5,625); IN 4.9% (4,888); OH 4.4% (4,461); QC 4.1% (4,108); KY 3.5% (3,484); PR 3.0% (3,021); WI 2.7% (2,696); TX 2.6% (2,648). Top cities: Seattle WA (5,406), Kissimmee FL (4,368), Yorba Linda CA (3,598), Liberty IN (3,196, from 1,879), Quebec QC (2,906), Bayamón PR (2,813), South Williamson KY (2,220), Brooklyn NY (2,130), Westminster CA (1,883), Miami FL (1,780). South Williamson and Brooklyn are back after dropping out last week; Woodbury MN and Silver Spring MD are out.
Manapool sales from Oct 16 on came in stamped exactly midnight UTC, so they bucket into the previous ET day, and our capture for Oct 16-18 is probably short; Manapool week-over-week totals and any Manapool move concentrated late in the week are low confidence. The pipeline now runs a data-integrity check on every weekly build, and it confirmed TCGPlayer sales and both venues’ listing snapshots are complete for all fourteen days. probable_restock_signal fired on TCGPlayer for the Reality Fracture Bundle (+65.07%), the Star Trek Prerelease Pack (+350.02%), the Star Trek Collector Booster Display (+171.39%), the Star Trek Play Booster Display (+93.35%), the Star Trek Beam Me Up Bundle (+146.87%), the Reality Fracture Prerelease Pack (+94.42%) and the Reality Fracture Collector Booster Omega Pack (+100.26%); the day-level close counts quoted above confirm real in-week builds on all seven. The Star Trek Collector Display and Prerelease Pack prior-week supply averages use 6 of 7 snapshot days. This week’s -21.17% compares the same 74 TCGPlayer products in both weeks; last week’s published $977,784 was a 76-product cohort. Our snapshot can’t split KO-Cards’ Secret Lair Bundle drop into sales and delistings; 137 units sold across the product. Manapool percentages sit on 3 to 37 units sold, and the Reality Fracture Play Booster (Manapool) and Edge of Eternities Play Booster Pack (Manapool) moves are 2 orders and 1 order.
Opinionated Takeaways
The supply came anyway
The comedown didn’t find a floor, and the stock that was late or held back picked this week to show up. For a seller with boxes to move, that’s the worst version of a light week, more inventory chasing fewer buyers with nothing on the calendar until Tuesday. If you’re selling, price for the week you’re in. If you’re buying, the asks are drifting your way.
Star Trek preorders changed venues
Stores ran their own preorders, then put what was left on TCGPlayer in two days, and every Star Trek price gave way before a single preview card. If you’re holding a Collector Display preorder you paid more than $605 for, the TCGPlayer shelf is already under you, and Tuesday’s debut is the first real chance for demand to answer back.
Late boxes sell cheaper
When a delay ends, the boxes that arrive late get sold under the ones that arrived on time, and the Bundle went under sticker within a week of landing. The Secret Lair Bundle went the other way only because one shop’s block cleared and nobody has replaced it yet. Friday’s release is the replacement, so I wouldn’t read the rebound as a floor.
Foundations Commander’s price is behind its shelf
Every shelf refilled, the asks went up on top of it, and half the buyers left. I don’t think that holds. If it closes, it closes through price, and Rex at double sticker has the most room to give back.
What To Watch Next Week
Tuesday, Oct 20, twice over. Hasbro reports Q3 before the open, webcast at 8:30 AM ET, and I’m reading the same three things: WotC growth against the mid-single-digit guide, Consumer Products inventory into Q4, and whether the 5 to 7% full-year guide moves. The Star Trek debut stream is the same day. Do the Star Trek preorder shelves, 630 Play and 532 Collector boxes at Sunday close, shrink or keep growing after the first full preview day, and does the Collector low ask hold $557.95?
Secret Lair Bundle release, Friday Oct 23. Does release stock refill the 43-copy TCGPlayer shelf and pull the $168.98 low ask toward $89.99, or does the shelf stay thin? And does the Reality Fracture Bundle stay under $57.99 now that the delayed stock is here?
Two prices behind their shelves. Does the refilled Foundations Commander shelf pull Rex, Calling All Angels and Reign of Dragons back under this week’s asks? And on the Reality Fracture Collector Booster Display, does sell-through stay under 1 and does the low ask break $416.99?
— The MTGsold Team
Calculation Notes & Disclaimers
- Metrics are based on MTGsold internal sales/listing snapshots for the report window only.
avg qty= average of daily inventory (most complete scrape per day, by seller coverage), not a sum of all intraday listings.sell-through=units sold this week / avg qty this week; values above 1 indicate inventory turned over multiple times.- Percentage changes are week-over-week versus the prior-week baseline; very small baselines can exaggerate % moves.
- Listings are marketplace snapshots and may include relists, temporary removals, and scrape gaps, so flagged low-confidence moves should be treated cautiously.
- Marketplace sections are segmented to avoid cross-stream blending of metrics.