Updated October 25, 2026. This ran in July off the first announcement. The October 20 reveal stream filled in the rest, and parts of the July version were wrong. The signed headliners are fewer than 250 copies each, and all seven signers are named now. Wizards published slot odds for nearly everything else, LCARS shock lands included, so the paragraphs that said those odds didn’t exist are rewritten. The Collector Booster odds also flipped my stardates advice. Draft Night is in the product math.
Wizards revealed the rest of Star Trek on the October 20 stream and posted the collecting article the same day. It puts a percentage on almost every slot in both boosters, down to whether the last card in your Collector Booster is an art card or a token. The seven signed headliners, the cards every Trek fan I know is actually going to chase, get “an extremely low quantity of Collector Boosters” and a population count. Fewer than 250 of each, and not one word about how many packs stand between you and a signature.
A Star Trek Magic set is the kind of thing I was always going to buy. I grew up on Voyager, and Deep Space Nine is the best Trek ever made. If Wizards had put Avery Brooks on a signed Sisko, this article would be about one card. They didn’t, so my bias goes on the table with a Janeway on it.
I went straight to the odds table like I do with every set, and that gap up there is what I found.
You can’t quote odds on a fixed-population insert without giving away the print run, and Wizards has never published a print run for anything. The set lands November 13, prerelease the week before.
How rare are the signed Star Trek cards?
Wizards published odds for every slot in the boosters except this one, so anyone quoting a per-box percentage is quietly assuming a print run.
- Seven signed autograph cards, under 250 copies each. Kirk, Spock, Picard, Data, Janeway, Seven of Nine and Geordi, foil and hand-signed by the actor. Fewer than 1,750 exist in total.
- Collector Boosters only. Every language feeds the same pool and the card is always in English, so the denominator is the global print run.
- One signed card per 143 to 476 Collector Booster boxes, depending on whether that run was 3 million packs or 10 million.
- One specific actor’s signature is seven times rarer again: 1 in 20,000 Collector Boosters at a 5 million run, 1 in 40,000 at 10 million, which is $760,000 to $1.5 million in MSRP packs on average.
The rest of this article is where those ranges come from, and where they break.
The stardates pull rate
From the product breakdown: 1 in 25 Play Boosters swaps a common for a stardates card. There are 30 different ones. Non-foils turn up in Play Boosters and Collector Boosters; traditional foils are Collector Booster only.
A 4% per-pack rate across a 30-pack box averages 1.2 stardates cards per box, and the spread around that average is ugly.
About three in ten Play Booster boxes have no stardates cards. That is how a 4% rate behaves across 30 packs. If you pull nothing, your luck was ordinary; getting zero is the second most likely outcome.
Chasing one exact stardates card is worse. Say it’s the Sheoldred reprint Wizards previewed as “Khan, Engineered Evil.”
If all 30 are equally likely, that card is 1 in 750 Play Boosters. One per 25 boxes. At $6.99 MSRP, you expect to spend $5,242 in packs to see it once.
About 17 boxes buys a coin-flip shot, and about 58 gets you to 90%. The $5,242 is an average, and the unlucky tail pulls it up: the luckier half of chasers are done by $3,631, and about 37% spend more than $5,242.
That equal-weighting assumption is doing a lot of work, and Wizards did not confirm it. If the stardates sheet takes the original card’s rarity into account, then a Sheoldred ranks below the pack rate and slot-level rarity roll. Any number above this is too optimistic. Treat 1 in 750 as the limit on your luck.
Buy Collector Boosters for stardates
The Play Booster is the worst way to chase a specific stardates card. Each Collector Booster has two Booster Fun slots, and each slot turns up a stardates card 28.1% of the time (23.1% non-foil, 5% traditional foil). That’s more than one stardates card for every two Collector Boosters. One exact card works out to 1 in 53 Collector Boosters, about $2,028 at MSRP against $5,242 in Play Boosters, and roughly one Collector Booster in ten hands you a foil stardates card on the way. If you want the Khan, buy Collector Boosters.
If you’re opening them to draft instead, 28 of the 30 stardates cards have limited grades in the Star Trek limited tier list.
Collecting all 30
This is a coupon collector problem. Expected packs to complete the set from Play Boosters alone:
| Boxes opened | Packs | Expected unique stardates |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 150 | 5.4 of 30 |
| 10 | 300 | 9.9 of 30 |
| 25 | 750 | 19.0 of 30 |
| 50 | 1,500 | 25.9 of 30 |
| 100 | 3,000 | 29.5 of 30 |
Full completion runs about 2,996 packs on expectation. That’s 100 Play Booster boxes, about $20,900 at MSRP. The last five cards cost more than the first twenty-five combined, which is the harmonic series doing what it does to every completionist, so buy the singles.
The signed-card pull rates Wizards won’t publish
Seven signed headliners, fewer than 250 copies each: Kate Mulgrew’s Janeway, Patrick Stewart’s Picard, William Shatner’s Kirk, Ethan Peck’s Spock, Brent Spiner’s Data, Jeri Ryan’s Seven of Nine, and LeVar Burton’s Geordi. Each is textless and foil, signed in pen by the actor on the card. Fewer than 1,750 signed cards on the planet, and they can only surface in Collector Boosters. Kirk is collector number 1701 and Picard is 1701D, which is the best joke in the set.
This is the first Magic set with hand-signed autographs in the pack, and that wrecks the math. There is no sale history to price against here and no prior signed set to lean on for sell-through. We are all about to guess at the value of a category that did not exist before this set.
Signed cards can appear in Collector Boosters of any language, but the card itself is always English. So the denominator is the global Collector Booster print run worldwide. Every Japanese, German, and Simplified Chinese Collector Booster is a lottery ticket in the same pool.
That is the opposite of how Wizards handled the LTR 1-of-1 One Ring, which lived only in English Collector Boosters.
The LTR floor
Wizards published the serialized 1-of-1 One Ring at less than 0.00003% per Collector Booster. One copy existed. Invert it: 1 in 3,333,333. So Lord of the Rings had at least 3.33 million English-language Collector Boosters in circulation in 2023.
That is the only quantitative window anyone has ever had into a Magic print run, and it is strictly a floor.
Three years on, the picture is bigger. Hasbro CEO Chris Cocks noted that Final Fantasy made $200 million on its first day. In comparison, Lord of the Rings took six months to hit that number. He also mentioned that Wizards increased production by about four times before the product shipped. Star Trek is a flagship Universes Beyond release built on a 60th anniversary, landing in a year Wizards has packed with licensed sets.
Nobody outside Renton knows the Star Trek Collector Booster print run. But a global run below 3 million packs would be smaller than a three-year-old set’s English-only run, and I don’t believe that for a second. Everything from 3 million up is live.
That’s a print run built from one serialized ring, two lines from an earnings call and a hunch that everything got bigger. Somewhere, a Romulan senator is holding it up to the light.
He has a point. It’s a guess with a number attached, and I’d rather say that out loud than fake confidence about odds nobody can know.
I’ll take the small mercy this set offers. One card is named In the Pale Moonlight, after the Deep Space Nine episode where Vreenak delivers his line. If Wizards is going to make me build a print run out of scraps and vibes, the least the universe can do is name a card after the bit. So: skepticism duly noted, here is that range as boxes per signed card.
At a 3 million global run, a signed card shows up about once every 143 Collector Booster boxes. At 5 million, once every 238. At 10 million, once every 476. The answer swings by a factor of three across print runs that are all defensible.
Per box, if you prefer it that way: somewhere between a 0.7% and a 0.2% chance a sealed Collector Booster box holds a signature.
And if you are chasing one captain
Mine is the Janeway. Voyager was my Trek growing up, and a Kate Mulgrew signature is the one card in this set I would actually frame. It is also its own population of under 250, so chasing one actor is seven times harder than chasing “any signed card,” with all the same bad denominators.
At a 5 million run, a single actor’s signature is 1 in 20,000 Collector Boosters, and you would expect to spend about $760,000 at MSRP to open it. At 10 million, it is 1 in 40,000 and $1.5 million.
That $760,000 is what the packs cost, and the packs are full of other cards that carry most of that value back out. Read it as a scarcity number: one actor’s entire supply of signatures would fit in a shoebox. The market price will be set by demand against however many of those copies ever get listed, and opening EV has no say in it.
For scale: Murders at Karlov Manor did seven serialized guild leaders, 250 copies each, nearly the same shape. Those guild leaders got their numbers from a printer. Kate Mulgrew signed every Janeway by hand, a couple hundred times over. The signed cards will outprice them, and the signed Kirk is the most interesting thing Wizards has printed since the One Ring.
Surge foils and shock lands
Each Collector Booster has two rare or mythic Booster Fun slots plus a foil one, drawing on LCARS frames, classic Enterprise cards, scene cards, Klingon cards, stardates and the LCARS shock lands.
In July I said nobody could put a number on this pool. Wizards did it for me. Surge foils are the thin part of the print, and they are Collector Booster only. The foil slot lands a surge foil LCARS shock land 4.6% of the time and a surge foil classic Enterprise card 4%. One specific surge foil shock land is 1 in 217 Collector Boosters, about 18 boxes and $8,260 at MSRP. That is the real chase in this set for anyone who doesn’t open a signature, and it costs about four times what a specific stardates card does through Collector Boosters.
The one I would watch: all ten shock lands are in this set, in LCARS frames, in a Standard-legal Universes Beyond release, and they are in the $6.99 pack. The Play Booster rare slot hits an LCARS shock land 1.4% of the time, with two more slots listed at under 1%, so at worst you open one every two or three Play Booster boxes. A Collector Booster box averages about three and a half. The non-foil LCARS shocks are going to be everywhere, and the price will show it. The surge foils are the ones that hold.
The product-level math, which is solid ground
MSRP arithmetic, no assumptions required:
- A Play Booster box is 30 packs at $6.99, which is $209.70 of packs.
- A Collector Booster box is 12 packs at $37.99, which is $455.88 of packs.
- The Beam Me Up Bundle is $99.99 for 8 Play Boosters plus 1 Collector Booster. Those boosters are $93.91 at MSRP, so you are paying $6.08 for two foil Spacecraft schematic promos, 15 traditional foil basics (5 full-art), 15 non-foil basics (5 full-art), a storage box, an oversized Spindown life counter, and 2 reference cards.
- Draft Night is $119.99 for 12 Play Boosters, 1 Collector Booster, 90 basic lands, 10 tokens and a draft insert. The boosters alone are $121.87 at MSRP, so the box costs $1.88 less than its packs.
- The Scene Box is $41.99 for 3 Play Boosters ($20.97 of packs) plus 6 traditional foil scene cards, 6 art cards, and an easel. The other $21.02 buys the scene cards.
That Beam Me Up premium is small enough to be interesting, and it is also the wrong way to buy a Collector Booster. If you were thinking of Beam Me Up Bundles as your signed-card vehicle because they include a Collector Booster, stop. That’s $99.99 for one Collector Booster that sells loose for $37.99. That is 2.6 times the cost per lottery ticket, and the eight Play Boosters cannot contain signed cards at all. Draft Night fails the same test harder: $119.99 for one Collector Booster is 3.2 times the loose price. Draft Night is the better buy only if you wanted the 12 Play Boosters anyway, since its packs cost $1.88 more than the box does. For the signature chase itself, buy Collector Boosters.
Those two foil promos are their own chase. There are eight of them, each a Star Trek Spacecraft drawn up as a ship schematic, and Wizards never says they turn up anywhere but the bundle. So the $6.08 you are “overpaying” is the cover charge for a second coupon collector problem: a random two of eight per bundle, no pity timer, and you buy bundles until the duplicates stop. If you’re in it for the ships, that’s its own chase with its own math.
My read
The stardates rate is generous by modern standards. One in 25 packs, 4%, non-foils in Play Boosters, 30 recognizable reprints in Star Trek clothing. That is a bonus sheet built to be opened, and the non-foils will be cheap by January. The foils are Collector Booster only, about one in every ten packs, and those are the ones worth holding.
The signed cards will get treated as though the odds are known. Someone will quote them as a per-box percentage on YouTube within a week. When you see one, ask what print run it assumed, and treat silence on that question as marketing.
Fewer than 1,750 signatures exist, spread across every Collector Booster in every language. Wizards published the odds for every other card in the pack and left the signed ones blank. Any real number there would give away the print run.
Individual card images via Scryfall. Autograph card previews are screen captures.
The signed-card math runs at a full 250 copies per card spread evenly across Collector Boosters in every language. Wizards says fewer than 250, so every signed-card number above is the best case. Every dollar figure is MSRP. Product contents, slot odds and prices come from Wizards’ October 20 collecting article.
Every number up there is a guess with its work shown, which means some of them are wrong. If you have a better denominator for that print run than a Hasbro earnings call and a three-year-old Ring, or you just want to pick a fight over the equal-weighting assumption, email me at analyst@mtgsold.com and I will correct it here.
I am watching this set closely through the November 13 release. Quoted signed-card odds, a firmer print run, the non-foil stardates settling to a price: I will write down each development as it arrives. The free newsletter below is where those updates land, so subscribe if you would rather they come to you than check back.